Sport & Auto
- About Future
- Digital Future
- Cookies Policy
- Terms & Conditions
- Investor Relations
- Contact Future
Remember the days when pundits were clamoring on about how the iPad was just a fad and that it'd never have an edge over laptops and desktops? According to a report released this morning by research firm IDC, those days are over. By the end of the year, the study asserts, tablets will outpace laptops in sales volume, and--get this--by 2015, they'll even outpace desktops.
The growth rate is rather phenomenal. According to IDC, tablets are on track to increase in year-over-year sales volume by 58.7 percent in 2013. That's a total of 229.3 million units this year, up from 144.5 million in 2012. The numbers stand in stark contrast to the numbers for PCs, which are falling and expected to continue decreasing throughout the year.
Image Source: IDC
Many factors are increasing to the tablet's usurping of the personal computing throne, according to IDC. For one, prices are falling rapidly, and the average retail price from a tablet (Apple or otherwise) sits at just over $380. (Compare that to the $635 average retail price for a PC.) You might recall that just last Friday we reported on some of the outstanding new prices for refurbished iPads. Such agreeable pricing for older models will likely have the same impact on the wider acceptance of tablets much as similar events had on the spread of smartphones.
Smaller tablets, too, account for the shift. As recently as 2011, only 27 percent of the market consisted of tablets under 8 inches; by 2017, IDC projects, 57.7 of all tablets will be under 8 inches.
Taken to extremes, the numbers seem to herald a future where desktops will be little more than a memory and almost all of our personal computing will take place on tablets. By IDC is quick to assert that it's not quite like that. "IDC continues to believe that PCs will have an important role in this new era of computing, especially among business users," said IDC's Ryan Reith. "But for many consumers, a tablet is a simple and elegant solution for core use cases that were previously addressed by the PC."
Follow this article's writer, Leif Johnson, on Twitter.