Quantcast

Forums | MacLife

You are not logged in.

#1 2009-05-28 4:01 pm

Hank Rearden
Watch your step
From: Republic of Western Canada
Registered: 2001-04-18
Posts: 7044
Website

tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Some folks seem to think so:

http://directorblue.blogspot.com/2009/0 … -that.html

Dealers on the closing list donated millions to Republicans, $200 for Obama
The initial pass at the list of shuttered dealers showed they had donated, in the aggregate, millions to Republican candidates and PACs and a total of $200 to Barack Obama.

Another review of all 789 closing dealerships, by WND, found $450,000 donated to GOP presidential candidates; $7,970 to Sen. Hillary Clinton; $2,200 to John Edwards and $450 to Barack Obama.

Of course, the question remains as to whether dealerships that remained open were skewed in the Obama column. It could be that Chrysler dealers are mainly GOP supporters...


The gross heathenism of civilization has generally destroyed nature, and poetry, and all that is spiritual. -John Muir-

Offline

 

#2 2009-05-28 4:10 pm

Tallgeese
Homo loquax nonnumquam sapiens
Registered: 2000-10-17
Posts: 34914

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

I'm pretty sure that Chrysler isn't going to try to get out of bankruptcy by politically motivated dealership closings rather than economically optimal dealership closings.

Tinfoil hat brigade, awaaaaaaaay!


I still believe in liberalism today as much as I ever did, but, oh, there was a happy time when I believed in liberals.

Online

 

#3 2009-05-28 4:34 pm

jerwin
Sophist
From: The Garden of Pure Ideology
Registered: 2003-01-01
Posts: 7422

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

best comment? No. 2.

how about this:

1. There are 789 dealerships

2. Find the political donations of all 789 (might take some work, don't be lazy)

3. Compare the percentage of campaign contributions that were given to republicans in closed vs. non-closed dealerships.

4. Do a goddamned t-test.
Seriously? | Homepage | 05.27.09 - 8:10 pm | #


Some subjects actually enjoy pain, and withhold information they might otherwise have divulged in order to be punished.
Central Intelligence Agency. (1983). Human Resource Exploitation Training Manual

Offline

 

#4 2009-05-28 4:37 pm

Tallgeese
Homo loquax nonnumquam sapiens
Registered: 2000-10-17
Posts: 34914

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

For 789 dealerships, you wouldn't use a t test.


I still believe in liberalism today as much as I ever did, but, oh, there was a happy time when I believed in liberals.

Online

 

#5 2009-05-28 4:41 pm

jerwin
Sophist
From: The Garden of Pure Ideology
Registered: 2003-01-01
Posts: 7422

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Shows what I know.... blush

Last edited by jerwin (2009-05-28 4:41 pm)


Some subjects actually enjoy pain, and withhold information they might otherwise have divulged in order to be punished.
Central Intelligence Agency. (1983). Human Resource Exploitation Training Manual

Offline

 

#6 2009-05-28 4:47 pm

JakeTheTall
Cargo Cultist
From: In Permanent Opposition
Registered: 2003-03-13
Posts: 10127

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Do the GM closings fit this pattern ?

(playing along with the latest right-wing absurdity)


Jesus said to the servants, "Fill the jars with water"; so they filled them to the brim.  Then he told them, "Now draw some out and take it to the master of the banquet."  They did so, and the master of the banquet tasted the water that had been turned into wine. He did not realize where it had come from, though the servants who had drawn the water knew.

Offline

 

#7 2009-05-28 4:59 pm

Hank Rearden
Watch your step
From: Republic of Western Canada
Registered: 2001-04-18
Posts: 7044
Website

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Tallgeese wrote:

For 789 dealerships, you wouldn't use a t test.

Well, it would be one approach if you split them into two groups (open and closed) and did a mean and standard error of GOP contributions (or Donkey contributions) for both. Null hypothesis = there is no difference in mean campaign contribution between the two groups.

But, some sort of regression (asking "is there a direct/indirect relationship between amount donated and being closed?") type of question would be more appropriate.

I'm sure some stats geeks are working on something right now.

I'm, frankly, rather skeptical. But, it would be interesting to see something definitive.

Here's a semi-literate analysis, but still far from robust:

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/05/ … icans.html


The gross heathenism of civilization has generally destroyed nature, and poetry, and all that is spiritual. -John Muir-

Offline

 

#8 2009-05-28 5:23 pm

Tallgeese
Homo loquax nonnumquam sapiens
Registered: 2000-10-17
Posts: 34914

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Hank Rearden wrote:

Tallgeese wrote:

For 789 dealerships, you wouldn't use a t test.

Well, it would be one approach if you split them into two groups (open and closed) and did a mean and standard error of GOP contributions (or Donkey contributions) for both. Null hypothesis = there is no difference in mean campaign contribution between the two groups.

A t distribution is for small sample sizes. Doing a mean and variance comparison for the dealerships you'd use normal distribution.


I still believe in liberalism today as much as I ever did, but, oh, there was a happy time when I believed in liberals.

Online

 

#9 2009-05-28 5:30 pm

Farmerkev
Official Dementor
Moderator
Registered: 2003-01-03
Posts: 19115

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

The thing that gives this enough weight to warrant investigation is things like the dealer that sold 700 cars last year getting closed.
That's the ones you want to stay open.
If there isn't political motivation behind it then it's just plain incompetence that must be stopped.


I was so depressed last night thinking about the economy, wars, jobs, my savings, Social Security, retirement funds, etc., I called the Suicide Lifeline. I got a call center in Pakistan, and when I told them I was suicidal, they got all excited, and asked if I could drive a truck.

Online

 

#10 2009-05-28 5:44 pm

ShnickyShnack
::: title edited due to Satanic influences :::
From: Rockin' out
Registered: 2001-05-25
Posts: 22237

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Farmerkev wrote:

The thing that gives this enough weight to warrant investigation is things like the dealer that sold 700 cars last year getting closed.
That's the ones you want to stay open.
If there isn't political motivation behind it then it's just plain incompetence that must be stopped.

By whom? Not the gubmint, surely?


Note: please delete this post.

Offline

 

#11 2009-05-28 5:44 pm

JakeTheTall
Cargo Cultist
From: In Permanent Opposition
Registered: 2003-03-13
Posts: 10127

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

And not ONE of the closures is a registered member of the Socialist Party of America !


Jesus said to the servants, "Fill the jars with water"; so they filled them to the brim.  Then he told them, "Now draw some out and take it to the master of the banquet."  They did so, and the master of the banquet tasted the water that had been turned into wine. He did not realize where it had come from, though the servants who had drawn the water knew.

Offline

 

#12 2009-05-29 5:45 am

Pariah
James Carville Fan..
From: Belly Of The Beast, Oklahoma!
Registered: 2001-05-24
Posts: 19082

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Farmerkev wrote:

The thing that gives this enough weight to warrant investigation is things like the dealer that sold 700 cars last year getting closed.
That's the ones you want to stay open.
If there isn't political motivation behind it then it's just plain incompetence that must be stopped.

Not if that 700 car dealer is located 1/4 mile from a 1000 car dealer and cutting into their profits.
The problem here is dealers competing with each other and driving the profit on the brand down.


But now the sun beats down on the asphalt land
Like a hammer invoked from God's left hand
What little still grows cringes in the shadows till the night fall...

Offline

 

#13 2009-05-29 6:10 am

Farmerkev
Official Dementor
Moderator
Registered: 2003-01-03
Posts: 19115

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Pariah wrote:

Farmerkev wrote:

The thing that gives this enough weight to warrant investigation is things like the dealer that sold 700 cars last year getting closed.
That's the ones you want to stay open.
If there isn't political motivation behind it then it's just plain incompetence that must be stopped.

Not if that 700 car dealer is located 1/4 mile from a 1000 car dealer and cutting into their profits.
The problem here is dealers competing with each other and driving the profit on the brand down.

The dealerships are privately owned.
It matters nothing to Chrysler's profitability if those two dealers have slightly lower profit margins due to competing with each other.


I was so depressed last night thinking about the economy, wars, jobs, my savings, Social Security, retirement funds, etc., I called the Suicide Lifeline. I got a call center in Pakistan, and when I told them I was suicidal, they got all excited, and asked if I could drive a truck.

Online

 

#14 2009-05-29 7:12 am

jerwin
Sophist
From: The Garden of Pure Ideology
Registered: 2003-01-01
Posts: 7422

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

6. How does cutting dealers actually help your bottom line in bankruptcy?
Our goal is to create a stronger, more profitable dealership network going
forward with dealerships offering our full line portfolio of Dodge, Jeep and
Chrysler products for customers.  Our current dealer network is highly stressed
with too many dealers carrying costs spread over too few sales.  Fewer, larger
dealers are more viable and profitable and as a result have the ability to better
satisfy customers.  In addition, our future product offerings will increasingly be
calibrated to dealers selling all brands (CJD) from a single integrated location.

source


Some subjects actually enjoy pain, and withhold information they might otherwise have divulged in order to be punished.
Central Intelligence Agency. (1983). Human Resource Exploitation Training Manual

Offline

 

#15 2009-05-29 7:49 am

Farmerkev
Official Dementor
Moderator
Registered: 2003-01-03
Posts: 19115

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Chrysler and GM's problems aren't because they have too many free salesmen.
Use your brain and think.


I was so depressed last night thinking about the economy, wars, jobs, my savings, Social Security, retirement funds, etc., I called the Suicide Lifeline. I got a call center in Pakistan, and when I told them I was suicidal, they got all excited, and asked if I could drive a truck.

Online

 

#16 2009-05-29 7:56 am

jerwin
Sophist
From: The Garden of Pure Ideology
Registered: 2003-01-01
Posts: 7422

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Look, if you want to read the bankruptcy filing, it's here. All 62 megabytes of it. And 700 cars is below average.

Last edited by jerwin (2009-05-29 7:57 am)


Some subjects actually enjoy pain, and withhold information they might otherwise have divulged in order to be punished.
Central Intelligence Agency. (1983). Human Resource Exploitation Training Manual

Offline

 

#17 2009-05-29 7:56 am

bedstuy
Archimandrite, Eastern Elite
From: King Cole Bar, St. Regis Hotel
Registered: 2003-09-20
Posts: 13882

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Farmerkev wrote:

Use your brain and think.

I'll turn my brain on when the "research" on all of this is done by some entity other than WorldNetDaily.  Is that OK?

Offline

 

#18 2009-05-29 8:00 am

bratboy
keeping the poor down
Royal Wombat
From: Austin, Texas
Registered: 2003-01-19
Posts: 34237

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Farmerkev wrote:

Chrysler and GM's problems aren't because they have too many free salesmen.
Use your brain and think.

sneaky

So let me get this straight:  These guys are simply operating under the misconception that having "too many" dealerships is a bad thing?  Because you're certain that it isn't?

Have you picked up the phone and let someone know about this?  It sounds serious.


"One thing we've learned is there's a difference between being disappointed and having madmen in authority."

                                                                   --Paul Krugman

Offline

 

#19 2009-05-29 8:11 am

ScifiterX
婚約中
Moderator
From: NW Palm Bay, Florida
Registered: 2000-02-10
Posts: 18263
Website

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Farmerkev wrote:

Pariah wrote:

Farmerkev wrote:

The thing that gives this enough weight to warrant investigation is things like the dealer that sold 700 cars last year getting closed.
That's the ones you want to stay open.
If there isn't political motivation behind it then it's just plain incompetence that must be stopped.

Not if that 700 car dealer is located 1/4 mile from a 1000 car dealer and cutting into their profits.
The problem here is dealers competing with each other and driving the profit on the brand down.

The dealerships are privately owned.
It matters nothing to Chrysler's profitability if those two dealers have slightly lower profit margins due to competing with each other.

Actually it does matter, just not in terms of overall sales. It costs car makers a lot of money to make sure multiple car dealers have sufficient stock. Why pay to ship to 2 or more locations in an area when you can just ship to 1?

Offline

 

#20 2009-05-29 8:11 am

Farmerkev
Official Dementor
Moderator
Registered: 2003-01-03
Posts: 19115

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

bratboy wrote:

Farmerkev wrote:

Chrysler and GM's problems aren't because they have too many free salesmen.
Use your brain and think.

sneaky

So let me get this straight:  These guys are simply operating under the misconception that having "too many" dealerships is a bad thing?  Because you're certain that it isn't?

Have you picked up the phone and let someone know about this?  It sounds serious.

You're correct of course.
How foolish of me.
Walmart went broke putting company owned stores in every town in America.
McDonalds was another big wipeout, hell they would have stores every few blocks in some places plus every exit on every interstate in across the country.
The business world is rife will examples of too many places for people to buy your product being a bad idea, especially when they pay you for the privilege to do so.


I was so depressed last night thinking about the economy, wars, jobs, my savings, Social Security, retirement funds, etc., I called the Suicide Lifeline. I got a call center in Pakistan, and when I told them I was suicidal, they got all excited, and asked if I could drive a truck.

Online

 

#21 2009-05-29 8:14 am

bratboy
keeping the poor down
Royal Wombat
From: Austin, Texas
Registered: 2003-01-19
Posts: 34237

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Yeah, it's unheard of.

Perhaps being viewed as the "mcdonalds" of automakers hasn't helped a lot?


"One thing we've learned is there's a difference between being disappointed and having madmen in authority."

                                                                   --Paul Krugman

Offline

 

#22 2009-05-29 8:14 am

Daniel
[dp] design#
From: Melbourne, FL
Registered: 2000-11-21
Posts: 9942
Website

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

So, between 88% and 92% of all Chrysler dealers are Republicans.  Of course the vast majority of the closed ones will be Republican; the vast majority of all of them are Republican!


Airman Dan
Private Pilot, Instrument Airplane Single-Engine Land
http://homepage.mac.com/dp.design/.Pictures/atat/AtAT-Banner.jpg

Offline

 

#23 2009-05-29 8:18 am

Farmerkev
Official Dementor
Moderator
Registered: 2003-01-03
Posts: 19115

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Perhaps not ruthlessly controlling their costs and poor overall business plans are what got them in trouble and not the dealer force they need to sell vehicles to allow them to get back out of the hole.

The privately owned dealerships will thin themselves out as they have been doing for years just like every other business in the world.

This is another piss poor idea brought to you by people that have nothing but piss poor ideas.


I was so depressed last night thinking about the economy, wars, jobs, my savings, Social Security, retirement funds, etc., I called the Suicide Lifeline. I got a call center in Pakistan, and when I told them I was suicidal, they got all excited, and asked if I could drive a truck.

Online

 

#24 2009-05-29 8:18 am

bratboy
keeping the poor down
Royal Wombat
From: Austin, Texas
Registered: 2003-01-19
Posts: 34237

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

One view:

Dealers have themselves been warning Detroit's automakers for decades that they were adding too many stores. In repeated lawsuits, dealers tried to block new stores, arguing there were already too many and adding more would hurt business.

Unfortunately, Detroit's automakers believed so strongly that more dealers would equal more sales -- a misguided concept they've since abandoned -- that they often fought their existing dealers in court.

A few years ago, for example, four GMC dealerships sued to stop GM from adding more franchises in Chicago. It took the Supreme Court of Illinois to block the effort. "There are a total of 27 GMC dealerships in the Chicago area," the court observed.

In comparison:

Last year, GM and Chrysler dealers, which have more than 22,000 brand franchises combined into about 9,500 dealerships, sold about 199 vehicles per franchise.

By contrast, Toyota, which has been growing sales with just 1,461 dealership franchises in the United States, sold an average of 1,518 vehicles per store.

That means the average Toyota franchise sold nearly eight times as many vehicles as the average GM or Chrysler dealer.

Consequently, Toyota dealers had a lot more money to spend on advertising, upgrading facilities and customer service, like free coffee and rental cars.

Detroit's overloaded network of dealership has excess administrative costs, too.

There's a lot of debate about how to calculate these. But Detroit's automakers spend billions delivering vehicles to stores and offering a variety of administrative services, such as marketing assistance, training, parts-and-service support, auditing and other behind-the-scenes activities, such as basic communications.

Link.

Last edited by bratboy (2009-05-29 8:20 am)


"One thing we've learned is there's a difference between being disappointed and having madmen in authority."

                                                                   --Paul Krugman

Offline

 

#25 2009-05-29 8:19 am

ScifiterX
婚約中
Moderator
From: NW Palm Bay, Florida
Registered: 2000-02-10
Posts: 18263
Website

Re: tinfoil hat: Is there a pattern to Chrysler dealership closures?

Starbucks is closing up shops left and right around here. Why? There too many and none can make enough to cover operating costs. Expansion isn't necessarily a bad thing but there are limits to it. Better the parent company trim based on performance and location than both stores fail trying to compete with each other.

Offline

 

Board footer

Powered by PunBB 1.2.6
© Copyright 2002–2005 Rickard Andersson