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#1 2003-02-06 1:32 am

mediocresau
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From: Mediocre, Honolulu, HI
Registered: 2002-09-24
Posts: 3567
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Apple's 2003 Blitz

This is it, I think.  2003 is going to be the make or break year for Apple Computer Inc.  Of course, this is just my opinion, and when I say

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#2 2003-02-06 1:50 am

double time
Member
Registered: 2003-01-26
Posts: 546

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

...I thought 2002 was supposed to be the big year with Jaguar and all... but we know how that turned out.

Right now people know that despite all of the recent upgrades, they are still far behind.  Only if the IBM 970 can be released soon, and if it is faster than the Athlon 64-bit or 4 GHz Pentium 4s, will Apple be able to save itself and *gasp* gain marketshare.  If the 970 comes out at 1.8GHz and still isn't the performance contender, no ammount of iApps and screen size options will help.

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#3 2003-02-06 2:10 am

iopossum
Pope of England
From: Planet of the... Wait a minute
Registered: 2002-07-16
Posts: 2734
Website

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

...I thought 2002 was supposed to be the big year with Jaguar and all... but we know how that turned out.

Right now people know that despite all of the recent upgrades, they are still far behind.  Only if the IBM 970 can be released soon, and if it is faster than the Athlon 64-bit or 4 GHz Pentium 4s, will Apple be able to save itself and *gasp* gain marketshare.  If the 970 comes out at 1.8GHz and still isn't the performance contender, no ammount of iApps and screen size options will help.

He's right, we need something BIG, and FAST.  If Mac could just get it together and come out with a 970 powermac by summer and a 970 powerbook by winter then mac could really have some bragging rights and start looking appealing to people.  Apple has gone through it's OS period where they mad Mac OS X and finalized it and all.  Jobs said after this it would be time to think about processors and the like.  I hope this is true and that this time is comming soon.

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#4 2003-02-06 3:44 am

oolatec
Member
From: USA
Registered: 2001-08-12
Posts: 4057

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

Well let's see... Safari should be final this year *heh*... iBooks should get an update... 15" Powerbook update... XServes should get an update... iPods will get an update... that's stuff im pretty sure of....

PPC 970 H2 of this year?  I really hope so...

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#5 2003-02-06 4:04 am

double time
Member
Registered: 2003-01-26
Posts: 546

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

Well let's see... Safari should be final this year *heh*... iBooks should get an update... 15" Powerbook update... XServes should get an update... iPods will get an update... that's stuff im pretty sure of....

that's the problem.  the updates suck.

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#6 2003-02-06 7:56 am

avkills
demyelinated brain matter
Registered: 2001-05-09
Posts: 7094

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

Yeah, they have not blown my skirt up lately, if you know what I mean.  Now if someone wants to donate a dual 1.4, I'll take it, but until then I am waiting for a machine with a new processor, hopefully the 970.

Software wise, Apple kicks ass.

Hardware wise, Apple is middle of the road.

-mark

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#7 2003-02-06 8:32 am

Ribtorus
Member
Registered: 2002-07-11
Posts: 13747

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

If it came down to it, what is preferable?*

Apple releasing a desktop with an IBM 970 that gets spanked by a Pentium when running 32 bit software but performs somewhat better running native 64 bit software, meaning another round of software updates across the board to really get the benefits, yet does retain compatibility with existing 32 bit software. The chips future may be brighter, but Apple is the only customer, so IBM's commitment is an open question.

Apple releasing a 32 bit-only desktop that totally and unambiguously spanks the Pentium, and even first generation 64 bit desktops, but leaves AMD and Intel and it's OEMs to introduce 32/64 bit to the consumer PC desktop market. Current PPC software is totally compatible. This 'chip X' has the potential to scale up well and is inexpensive. Though it puts Apple further back in the 64 bit future.

Apple releasing an 'alternate' 32/64 bit desktop that performs on par or better with the latest Pentiums in 32 bit performance, but sets a new high standard in 64 bit performance on the desktop, yet requires all new software. Software vendors allow cross-grading.


* By preferable, I mean what's best for Apple's continued success, and ability to attract new users and grow in the market.
For the sake of this comparison, I'm assuming the first generation IBM 970 is not the magical super-chip some would like it to be.


when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...

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#8 2003-02-06 8:36 am

tripletmot
Member
From: Cleveland Heights
Registered: 2002-12-14
Posts: 425
Website

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

I have to agree with above comments: primarily, the hardware isn't there. Apple just has a huge up-hill battle that would require a huge breakthrough. Right now, the only things getting nat'l press from Apple are the iPod and recent price cuts. Talk of the new PowerBooks is primarily PR. Don't get me wrong, I think Apple has some great potential, it's just a matter of execution at this point.

From January to March of 2002, I did on my Capstone project for my major (Advertising) on Apple. While doing research, I talked to a lot of people (more than just college students) who had a such a negative perception of Apple. I even had people in my group who HATED macs from having worked on them in required Labs for certain classes.

Remember that commercial for iPhoto where the new dad takes pictures of his kid's birth and shows a slide show on his ibook? So many people that I showed that commercial too were confused: "when did Apple start making digital cameras?" Unless you already new what iPhoto was, you wouldn't know that it was software... and nowhere did it mention that it was FREE.

My point is, Macs aren't for everyone. But starting with some important targets, Apple could make some inroads in certain areas like 20-something's with kids (neuvo nesters) - sell them on how easy it is to email grandma pics of the kids (iPhoto) or make a DVD of their kids birthday (iMovie + iDVD) then how easy it is to track family finances, all on the same machine.

Still, I think that Apple should point out the strengths that it has (and there are many) to the right people. I'm not sure that they're doing that. It's clear that the switchers ads were talking to "everyone" - "it's so easy to switch, look at all these different people who did." Still, it's hard to gague how effective that approach can be. 

Sorry for this rant, I tried to be constructive. Thoughts, feelings, reactions?

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#9 2003-02-06 8:50 am

Ribtorus
Member
Registered: 2002-07-11
Posts: 13747

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

There is something seriously wrong with Apple's advertising.

Apple and Chiat-Day are held up as paragons of innovative and effective advertising, yet they can't seem to grow sales. Not only that, but a common complaint voiced by those who would like to see Apple do well is that people buy PC's because they just don't know enough about Macs.
How can Chiat-Day and Apple claim to have effective ads? Did I miss something? Is Chiat-Day coasting on that one Superbowl Ad from '84?

Ads are about brand awareness and selling stuff. It's not rocket science. They either work or they don't. Apple has been in the market from the very beginning (they helped create the market), and people haven't heard of them? What gives?

Now that Apple has a large retail presence, I'd like to see those full spread newsprint ads like the electronics chain stores have. Simple product descriptions and regular sales and discounts. It's not glamourous or fancy, but it gets people into the stores on weekends. Apple shouldn't be shy about moving downscale, after all, it's cut it's prices. Something has to compensate for that.

There is something seriously wrong with Apple's advertising.


when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...

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#10 2003-02-06 8:56 am

y2kapostle
Member
From: Lancaster, PA
Registered: 2000-06-01
Posts: 1376
Website

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

I don't give a rip about Apple's marketshare. I mean, it'd be nice if many people owned Apple computers, but then if they did, what would we have to brag about and what would the other side have to drool over?

Just give me a fast computer that runs what I want, and does what I tell it, and for crying out loud lets me do what I tell it to (unlike WinXP).

Mac OS X is the Holy Grail.

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#11 2003-02-06 8:58 am

Touque Guy
Rush Limbaugh
From: Nagasaki
Registered: 2002-03-21
Posts: 2488
Website

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

Apple needs something...again. Like the iMac. It was easy to use, got you on the internet, but most of all, it was affordable. People who look at The New iMac always look at the price tag first. I think it's about time something extremely affordable (like iMac) to come along and blow people's minds.

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#12 2003-02-06 9:11 am

Old Time Hockey
The Iron League
From: Kingdom of Loathing
Registered: 2003-02-02
Posts: 303

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

There is something seriously wrong with Apple's advertising.

Yes -- if the product is good, but not selling, then there is a problem.  The marketing  / finance department also contributes by the pricing schemes and what salespeople are allowed to say to customers.


"In the heat of battle, my father wove a tapestry of obscenity that, as far as we know, is still hanging in space over Lake Michigan."

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#13 2003-02-06 9:15 am

its DLANTZ again....
...grinding 2 a HALT!
From: Ontario, Canada
Registered: 2002-12-20
Posts: 882

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

it is quite refreshing to see macaddicts criticize apple without being flamed. there ARE those of us that although we love the platform, we hate to see apple with such a disadvantage in terms of processor speeds and marketing strategies. we can speak openly about it without some dork replying with a "well peecees suck and apple rules. who cares about speed?" or "Apple can do no wrong WHATSOEVER" or something of the sort.....

naa mean? big_smile

carry on.......


"he who knows not and knows not he knows not, he is a fool, SHUN HIM!"

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#14 2003-02-06 10:40 am

tripletmot
Member
From: Cleveland Heights
Registered: 2002-12-14
Posts: 425
Website

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

I work for an advertising research company and we've found (and published) some very specific advertising elements that positively affect how much an ad impacts sales (not liking or recall, but SALES). The number one factor that impacts sales is having a brand-differentiating statement, i.e. "Apple is less prone to attack from viruses," or "iMovie is the easiest home editing program... and it comes with every mac."

Anyway, the switchers campaign has drawn a lot of praise (current Adweek says it was the year's best) and I think it's a good start, but could still make more of an impact.

Most important though, Apple needs to have a product (or even a position like "digital hub"...) that they can push and make their own, like the iMac (Torque Guy).

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#15 2003-02-06 10:59 am

Twisted Guy
President of the Galactic Confederacy
Registered: 1999-03-28
Posts: 15984
Website

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

There is something seriously wrong with Apple's advertising.

Yes -- if the product is good, but not selling, then there is a problem.  The marketing  / finance department also contributes by the pricing schemes and what salespeople are allowed to say to customers.

I think the problem Apple faces in terms of marketing, whether or not their advertising is good or bad, is that is has to compete against the ad space of tons of PC companies (Dell, Compaq/HP, Gateway, etc.) who directly advertise the "starting at $349 (for a Celeron, 128 MB of RAM, onboard video, monitor not included, after $250 rebate for one year subscription with AOL/MSN)" bargain PCs they make.  Apple also has to fight against the mindshare and marketshare held by MS and PC makers-since they're "what everyone else uses" and are "cheaper" Apple is swimming against the current when it comes to marketing their fashionable, chic, stylish, designer computers and accessories.  More people want to buy what's cheap than want to buy what's cool and comfortable (albeit more expensive), even if the latter is the better product.

Apple will always sell less as long as they insist on being innovative and stylish.  Better hardware and better software will always help, and the PPC 970 will be a great replacement for the G4 if the rumors, speculation, and hopes of everyone come true (btw-Ribtorus, the 970 runs 32-bit PPC code natively with no speed difference, unlike Intel and AMD's 64-bit CPUs, so there will be no performance loss when running 32-bit apps on the 970).  But, Apple will always be behind in marketshare and mindshare of PCs because of the PC's dominance.  As long as Apple can sell products, make money, and come out with great hardware and software, does it really matter, though?


All hail Xenu!
http://imagegen.last.fm/EtherealForest/artists/5/TwistedGuy.gif

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#16 2003-02-06 11:11 am

AMD
Member
Registered: 2002-12-12
Posts: 1958

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

Apple needs to do 1 thing IMO: Make a profit (ergo stay in business)

I don't think Apple wants to become Dell-like, or huge.. I honestly think Apple likes being Apple.. the smaller 'upper class' Windows alternative with style that's not for the unwashed masses of e-machine owners.

I think Apples perfect marketshare would be 10%. Enough business to make lots of cash, but still that elite enough to stay above the everyday static that's the computer market.

Apple is half way to being the Mercedes of computers IMO, they have the style, class & top notch OS part down.. now they need that famous "German engineering" of hardware to justify charging for it.

ATA100 / 66, 167 BUS, 1.25Ghz CPU's ain't gonna cut it... Apple's got to be top notch, I mean to the point where there's no question who has some of the best hardware on the market.

But this is a problem. The PC market has never been this strong with top quality; Abit, MSI, Soyo, Tyan, Gigabyte, ECS, Intel among others are all making great motherboards with nVidia, Via, Sis, Intel and Ali chipsets.  Apple in their own way is trying to out ionnovate and out perform ALL of them.

This isn't 5 years ago where there were all these grab-ass POS companys chruning out loads of she-it, there are more & better standards, MS compatibility levels (drivers etc) that were unheard of in the Win95/98 days. Both AMD & Intel work with Mobo & chipset makers closer than ever, and the Mobo makers are working with MS and perpipheral makers, who in turn are working with program writers. The PC market has evolved A LOT, these people have their shiet together.

Plus Apple has one more hat in the arena to deal with: Linux. 3 years ago who would have thought that you could buy a Linux PC at Sams Club or Walmart? What about 3 years from now as Linux grows?

Disgruntled Windows users who had only Apple to turn to now have a cheaper than Windows alternative... almost so cheap you can try it and risk nothing. Don't like Lindows?, no problem.. you just bought the same PC equipment you already know, toss your old copy of Windows on it.. or try another Linux distro.

Apple can't fight all these fronts, they need to choose their battles and make a profit... and maybe use some of the PC resources to their advantage. Why not let MSI, Soyo whoever bid on making the next Apple Mobo? these companys have the resources, they can make good quality boards at a profit.

The IBM/AMD partnership, OMFG, how huge could this be for Apple? AMD needs to not  PO MS while still jamming a stick in Intels eye.. it can be done somehow.

Plus they need to strike a deal with Earthlink or someone: buy an Apple get broadband at a killer price. A computing experience takes on a new life with DSL / Cable, it would make a new Mac seem that much better.

Most of all, Apple needs to get eyes & fingers on OSX.

I'd love to see mobil Apple trailers that go around to schools / coffee shops / malls / libraries and let kids / people use OSX to play games, surf, do homework... whatever the scene dictates.

Plus let Cyber Cafes use new Macs at a minimal cost, and or have them target coffee shops with no computers "This Mac courtesy of the Apple store at..", or "Apple dealer at.." (use Earthlink DSL / cable to offer coffee shops / cafes killer packages??) Dell may be taking schools by storm, but there are other markets Apple can look into.

Whatever it takes to get more people experiencing Macs, they need to do it.

Right now people are looking at the price, wondering why a "2400+" CPU is a lot cheaper than a 867Mhz or 1Ghz.. and walking by. BUT if they used a cool iBook at the coffee shop, they'd know better what the deal is.

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#17 2003-02-06 11:16 am

NAG
A witch!
Royal Wombat
From: /usr/local/apps/nag
Registered: 2000-09-22
Posts: 30229

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

Good ideas.

I can't wait until later this year to see if Apple can live up to all the hype. Hopefully they will.


"You call *this* archaeology?" • Professor Henry Jones
http://homepage.mac.com/dpauw/.Pictures/misc/moron.gif

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#18 2003-02-06 11:47 am

sorhed
Member
From: 767 enroute from boston
Registered: 2000-09-07
Posts: 3125
Website

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

We are the intelligentsia of the coming Apple Revolution.

Just when that revolution is going to come, well, nobody knows.


Spytap wrote: Why, exactly, is sorhed being banned?

The Great Prophet Omega wrote: He threatened to kill the President of the USA.
I'm just glad I got an entire copy of the thread before it dissappeared and sent it to the FBI.

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#19 2003-02-06 12:12 pm

Ribtorus
Member
Registered: 2002-07-11
Posts: 13747

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

The IBM 970 rumours have screwed Apple.

No one is going to be happy if the 970 makes its way into a Mac desktop. IBM doesn't project that it will outperform similarly dated Pentiums.
IBM claims that with an OS that has had minor changes, 32 bit software will run "with the same level of performance". The quote is from IBM's literature. Does that mean that otherwise identical 32 bit and 64 bit applications will run with the same level of performance?  Why then bother with 64 bit on the desktop? Maybe it means that 32 bit software will run at the same level of performance in a similarly clocked 32 bit PPC chip. Which similarly clocked PPC chip? IBM's G3s? Motorola's G4s? Maybe IBM is comparing the 32 bit performance to their own 32 bit Intel products at comparable clock speeds. It's ambiguous. Either way, its 32 bit performance will not set any industry high marks. So that leaves its 64 bit performance.*

Nothing I have seen so far puts the IBM 970 at the head of the performance curve. IBM's predictions for the 970 at 1.8GHz integer and floating point performance place it alongside the Sparc IV and HP's PA-RISC, (not so good). AMD's X86-64 at 2.4GHz put it in league with the EV7 Alpha and Intel IA-64. (industry high end).

It's not the whole story by any means, but it does show where things may be headed.



* I hope whatever happens that 32 bit performance is significantly slower than 64 bit; if for no other reason than to justify the change. People will need a reason to buy a 64 bit desktop.


when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...

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#20 2003-02-06 12:44 pm

double time
Member
Registered: 2003-01-26
Posts: 546

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

I guess I need to read more about the 970, but I have read a lot about the AMD 64-bit CPU, which is claiming to boost both 32 and 64 bit computing.  Still, I can't imagine a CPU like the 970 not performing much better than a G4 clock for clock unless IBM really didn't engineer it to run 32-bit programs at all, and is more of an emulation.

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#21 2003-02-06 12:52 pm

Ribtorus
Member
Registered: 2002-07-11
Posts: 13747

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

I'm just going by what IBM claims, and by established (undisputed) claims made by those whose job it is to guage chips and systems. I don't mean to knock the IBM 970, but the build-up it's getting 'on-line' in forums etc is placing it and Apple in a no-win situation. It can't possibly live up to the pentium-killer-save-Apple-be-all-things-to-all-software reputation.


when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...

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#22 2003-02-06 1:01 pm

double time
Member
Registered: 2003-01-26
Posts: 546

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

only if Adobe, Macromedia, Quark, and a ton of other software companies optimize their software for 64-bit will it make a difference too.  Intel will be putting HyperThreading in every CPU over 3 GHz which is a big improvement, and at 4 GHz with 800mhz FSB with will be hard to beat. 

Apple needs to ditch the ad campaign of idiots who don't understand computers, and replace it with a campaign that makes the Mac look powerful.

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#23 2003-02-06 3:47 pm

zerocool90
Member
From: N.C.
Registered: 2002-05-02
Posts: 1538
Website

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

"32 bit software will run "with the same level of performance".

what it means is it will run as well in 32 bit application as the power 970 would if it were a 32 bit chip only. 1.8 GHz is 1.8 GHz either way, its just how much is getting done in each cycle.

AMD and INTEL's 64 bit chips dont handle 32 Bit apps as well as a 32 bit processor would.

and AMD is bleeding money out of the hole in thier head that intel put there when they went nuts speeding up the P4.

i hope AMD lasts long enough to put a 64 bit crunch on intel...AMD might pull through, but theyve lost like 850 MILLION dollars this past year alone...and i dont think they have that much more left in the bank like apple does/did when they were hemmoraging money.

and everyone here should know its not about whose stuff is best. its about who has the latest and greatest and who can market it best. If windows moves 64 bit next year and AMD falls or gets bought out, whose gonna make x86 64 bit chips?

Intel doesnt own any 64 bit architechture design. theyve lost a few lawsuits that say the design theyve been using belongs to a company they worked with in the past (and stole it from, thinking they could get away with it cause they are intel), and that company is not interested in selling or leasing the design. Apple or IBM should buy out AMD if they get half a chance if for no otehr reason than to put a squeeze on intel. what 64 bit chips they do have are not for desktops, and not 32 bit compatable, or if they are, its a joke. and the p4 cant last forever, especially when "64 bit' is the new word around town.


....Shopping on BuyMusic.com is best described as Soviet.... from the washington post

and goto www.deloreanrocks.com and listen to my music

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#24 2003-02-06 4:01 pm

Ribtorus
Member
Registered: 2002-07-11
Posts: 13747

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

Is no one else a wee bit worried that the hopes and claims heaped upon the IBM 970 might be a tad unrealistic?


when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...

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#25 2003-02-06 4:17 pm

zerocool90
Member
From: N.C.
Registered: 2002-05-02
Posts: 1538
Website

Re: Apple's 2003 Blitz

i dont expect it to be a processor jesus, but something more along the lines of the right start.

its not just the 970, i expect the whole powermac line to be changed, followed soon by some of the other macs...i thin kwere gonna see a new era for the macs soon, like then the imac came out.


....Shopping on BuyMusic.com is best described as Soviet.... from the washington post

and goto www.deloreanrocks.com and listen to my music

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