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#51 2008-05-30 2:03 pm

JakeTheTall
Cargo Cultist
From: In Permanent Opposition
Registered: 2003-03-13
Posts: 9611

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

Comparing the current situation with a conflict with China is comparing apples to adjectives.


Jesus said to the servants, "Fill the jars with water"; so they filled them to the brim.  Then he told them, "Now draw some out and take it to the master of the banquet."  They did so, and the master of the banquet tasted the water that had been turned into wine. He did not realize where it had come from, though the servants who had drawn the water knew.

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#52 2008-05-30 4:36 pm

sturner
Royal High Poobah
Moderator
From: Carrollton, TX USA
Registered: 2000-01-31
Posts: 13779

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

Are adjectives good to eat?


I'm not dead yet.
There are 3 types of people, those who can count and those who can't.
"There are few things graven in stone, excepting your date of death."

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#53 2008-05-30 4:40 pm

sturner
Royal High Poobah
Moderator
From: Carrollton, TX USA
Registered: 2000-01-31
Posts: 13779

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

Being able to beat the Chinese depends upon the intensity of the conflict, the location, and whether we are committed to deploying and using nuclear weapons.

Fighting a low, middle, or high intnensity conflict far from our shores makes it a much dicier proposition. As you move to higher intensity, and move closer to the borders of China, we encounter problems. Unless we are ready to do nuclear strikes from day one.

We do have an advantage on the seas, but on land, and in the air, we face numbers. And the prospect of fighting in an extremely target rich environment is nice until you start running out of ammunition and material.


I'm not dead yet.
There are 3 types of people, those who can count and those who can't.
"There are few things graven in stone, excepting your date of death."

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#54 2008-05-30 4:45 pm

Tallgeese
Sternly Advising
From: Pool Party
Registered: 2000-10-17
Posts: 34086

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

The question that nobody has raised is: Why would we be fighting China?
Answering that question tells you what kind of war it would be and what victory would look like.


I still believe in liberalism today as much as I ever did, but, oh, there was a happy time when I believed in liberals.

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#55 2008-05-30 4:50 pm

sturner
Royal High Poobah
Moderator
From: Carrollton, TX USA
Registered: 2000-01-31
Posts: 13779

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

Why bother? Pres Bush thinks doing that is a waste of time. He's my hero!


I'm not dead yet.
There are 3 types of people, those who can count and those who can't.
"There are few things graven in stone, excepting your date of death."

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#56 2008-05-30 5:05 pm

JakeTheTall
Cargo Cultist
From: In Permanent Opposition
Registered: 2003-03-13
Posts: 9611

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

Tallgeese wrote:

The question that nobody has raised is: Why would we be fighting China?
Answering that question tells you what kind of war it would be and what victory would look like.

This is why I say that it can't compare to Iraq.  At this point the US is "nation building" in Iraq, fighting a small (in per capita terms) insurgency. 

I'm assuming a conflict with China would be focused on the US trying to keep China from expanding from their current location;  be it via a large conventional force to combat with conventional means (WWII-style), or their conventional force vs guerrillas we arm (Soviets in Afghanistan-style).


Jesus said to the servants, "Fill the jars with water"; so they filled them to the brim.  Then he told them, "Now draw some out and take it to the master of the banquet."  They did so, and the master of the banquet tasted the water that had been turned into wine. He did not realize where it had come from, though the servants who had drawn the water knew.

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#57 2008-05-30 5:12 pm

sturner
Royal High Poobah
Moderator
From: Carrollton, TX USA
Registered: 2000-01-31
Posts: 13779

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

Wait a minute. The Bush Administration said it didn't do no nation-building. What's up? A flip-flop?


I'm not dead yet.
There are 3 types of people, those who can count and those who can't.
"There are few things graven in stone, excepting your date of death."

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#58 2008-05-30 5:17 pm

[Tycho?]
As Elusive As Doubt
From: May the best sentience win
Registered: 2000-06-19
Posts: 3209

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

Tallgeese wrote:

The question that nobody has raised is: Why would we be fighting China?
Answering that question tells you what kind of war it would be and what victory would look like.

True, but this whole talk is extremely hypothetical. Considering how inter-dependant the Chinese and US economies are, any open hostilities would be very bad for both countries right now. And anything large scale would quickly escalate to a level where nuclear weapons would be used as a threat. Really guys, this is a WW3 situation we're talking about, and its pretty likely there would be numerous other countries involved in such a conflict as well.

I was mostly arguing from an "on paper" point of view, since any sort of war between these two countries would mean the world is seriously smurfed, and just about anything could happen.


I could bore you with a philosophical tirade about freedom and tyranny, or try and explain to you what new horizons are suddenly open to me, but I doubt you would understand and if you did it might frighten you.  That amuses me.

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#59 2008-05-30 8:56 pm

jeremiah256
Big Black Kahuna
From: Honolulu HI, U.S.A.
Registered: 2001-06-29
Posts: 814

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

Well if we're worried about our superpower status, we'd better elect the right person.  Someone with the military background and the international stature we deserve.


... Already long ago, from when we sold our vote to no man, the People have abdicated our duties; for the People who once upon a time handed out military command, high civil office, legions - everything, now restrains itself and anxiously hopes for just two things:  bread and circuses - Juvenal

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#60 2008-05-30 9:58 pm

StaticAge
Fearless Vampire Killer
From: Crouching in your pea patch
Registered: 2002-08-28
Posts: 6935
Website

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

[Tycho?] wrote:

Yeah. I still personally think the US would have a very hard time, but looking at this question on a timeline is perhaps more useful. 10 years ago I certainly wouldn't be making this argument. But China has come a long way in those 10 years, and the US has only seen problems. And thinking 10 years into the future, I can't help but think that China is rapidly gaining, and that this is not going to slow down any time soon.

Well, another thing to think about is whether the government would slow funding military research and development despite hardships experienced by the population. Theres already plenty of problems they could spend the military budget on, why would they suddenly switch gears now? Even historically, didnt funding the military and creating new research and manufacturing for the DOD help bring the US out of the Great Depression, creating new jobs etc? I mean, this is all hypothetical, and its quite possible that instead of creating a wider gap, it could forge a sort of nationalistic solidarity instead.


"Live with your head in the lion's mouth. I want you to overcome 'em with yeses, undermine 'em with grins, agree 'em to death and destruction, let 'em swoller you till they vomit or bust wide open." -Ralph Ellison

"Overpower, overcome" -Cro-Mags

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#61 2008-05-30 11:48 pm

Tom_N
Member
Registered: 2002-01-24
Posts: 889

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

ScifiterX wrote:

The US is still technically a military superpower however our days as a scientific, cultural, and economic superpower have definitely passed.

I suppose that explains the Mars lander (Phoenix), rovers (Spirit and Opportunity), and orbiting spacecraft.

Also why we have the only working Space Shuttle (even if it is about to be retired) and are still the only country to have sent men to the Moon -- and back.

Also why people come from all over the world to study at universities like Harvard, M.I.T., Carnegie Mellon, Stanford, etc., etc.

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#62 2008-05-30 11:56 pm

resedit
Chicken Little
Royal Wombat
From: /dev/null
Registered: 1999-11-01
Posts: 50394
Website

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

sturner wrote:

Are adjectives good to eat?

When properly candied.


In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor

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#63 2008-05-31 12:10 am

Tom_N
Member
Registered: 2002-01-24
Posts: 889

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

Tallgeese wrote:

The question that nobody has raised is: Why would we be fighting China?
Answering that question tells you what kind of war it would be and what victory would look like.

In the next decade or two, the only remotely plausible answer is, "China decided to use force to extend totalitarian rule over Taiwan, and we came to Taiwan's aid".

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#64 2008-05-31 1:25 am

[Tycho?]
As Elusive As Doubt
From: May the best sentience win
Registered: 2000-06-19
Posts: 3209

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

StaticAge wrote:

[Tycho?] wrote:

Yeah. I still personally think the US would have a very hard time, but looking at this question on a timeline is perhaps more useful. 10 years ago I certainly wouldn't be making this argument. But China has come a long way in those 10 years, and the US has only seen problems. And thinking 10 years into the future, I can't help but think that China is rapidly gaining, and that this is not going to slow down any time soon.

Well, another thing to think about is whether the government would slow funding military research and development despite hardships experienced by the population. Theres already plenty of problems they could spend the military budget on, why would they suddenly switch gears now? Even historically, didnt funding the military and creating new research and manufacturing for the DOD help bring the US out of the Great Depression, creating new jobs etc? I mean, this is all hypothetical, and its quite possible that instead of creating a wider gap, it could forge a sort of nationalistic solidarity instead.

Sure its possible, although I dont see it. If military funding was a magic bullet to create jobs and help the economy, the US wouldn't be facing economic problems right now. The US is already vastly overspending on military stuff, with no end in sight. The Soviets bankrupted themselves trying to keep a technological and military edge on the US. The same thing could happen to the US given a few more decades.

Time will tell though. But I sure wont be making any long term bets against China, thats for sure.


I could bore you with a philosophical tirade about freedom and tyranny, or try and explain to you what new horizons are suddenly open to me, but I doubt you would understand and if you did it might frighten you.  That amuses me.

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#65 2008-05-31 3:37 am

resedit
Chicken Little
Royal Wombat
From: /dev/null
Registered: 1999-11-01
Posts: 50394
Website

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

How does the current US expense on military vs our GNP compare with the soviet expense on military vs their GNP ??

The proposed universal health care plans that some people want will dwarf our military spending.

Oh - and I don't see us facing economic problems right now. That's mostly media hype because doom and gloom sells. Kind of like how last year was suppose to be the worst year ever for hurricanes.

Last edited by resedit (2008-05-31 3:38 am)


In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor

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#66 2008-05-31 3:41 am

resedit
Chicken Little
Royal Wombat
From: /dev/null
Registered: 1999-11-01
Posts: 50394
Website

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

When our kids are no longer getting fat - that means restaurants have become too expensive for major meal replacement, and we are in financial hardship.

I look around - and I still see fat kids, and I still see lines and lines of cars at the fast food places.

Last edited by resedit (2008-05-31 3:41 am)


In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor

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#67 2008-05-31 10:08 am

isaly
Member
From: well. . . I was there, now I'm
Registered: 2001-09-15
Posts: 5604
Website

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

prolefeed


---------------------------------------__ o
____________________        \   <.
================= (_)/ (_)

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#68 2008-05-31 10:23 am

jerwin
Sophist
From: The Garden of Pure Ideology
Registered: 2003-01-01
Posts: 7055

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

resedit wrote:

When our kids are no longer getting fat - that means restaurants have become too expensive for major meal replacement, and we are in financial hardship.

I think you have too much faith in America's home-cooking skills.


Some subjects actually enjoy pain, and withhold information they might otherwise have divulged in order to be punished.
Central Intelligence Agency. (1983). Human Resource Exploitation Training Manual

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#69 2008-06-02 10:26 am

JakeTheTall
Cargo Cultist
From: In Permanent Opposition
Registered: 2003-03-13
Posts: 9611

Re: Interesting take on the US super-power status

resedit wrote:

Oh - and I don't see us facing economic problems right now. That's mostly media hype because doom and gloom sells.

What are you basing this from ?


Jesus said to the servants, "Fill the jars with water"; so they filled them to the brim.  Then he told them, "Now draw some out and take it to the master of the banquet."  They did so, and the master of the banquet tasted the water that had been turned into wine. He did not realize where it had come from, though the servants who had drawn the water knew.

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