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#1 2008-08-02 7:24 pm
- ShnickyShnack
- ::: title edited due to Satanic influences :::

- From: Rockin' out
- Registered: 2001-05-25
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CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
Centers for Disease Control waaaay off on its AIDS numbers
The country had roughly 56,300 new HIV infections in 2006 — about a 40 percent increase from the 40,000 annual estimate used for the past dozen years. The new figure is due to a better blood test and new statistical methods, and not a worsening of the epidemic, officials said.
But it likely will refocus U.S. attention from the effect of AIDS overseas to what the disease is doing to this country, said public health researchers and officials.
"This is the biggest news for public health and HIV/AIDS that we've had in a while," said Julie Scofield, executive director of the National Alliance of State and Territorial AIDS Directors.
Whoopsie!
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#2 2008-08-02 7:40 pm
- Chickenhawk
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Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
I wonder if changes in health education has made any difference in those numbers.
The recent medical controversy over whether vaccinations cause autism reveals a habit of human cognition—thinking anecdotally comes naturally, whereas thinking scientifically does not. -- Michael Shermer
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#3 2008-08-02 8:08 pm
Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
Chickenhawk wrote:
I wonder if changes in health education has made any difference in those numbers.
I believe it has.
I can't prove it, but I suspect health education has increased the condom use rate, especially in high risk groups.
What I believe we need to work on though is the other vector, IV drug use. I think that clean needles are still too difficult to come by. Sure, it would be nice if they just didn't do drugs, but since people do use IV drugs, until we can figure out a way to effectively drastically reduce such use - clean needles must be readily available for those who will use IV drugs whether they have a clean needle or not.
Last edited by resedit (2008-08-02 8:08 pm)
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#4 2008-08-02 8:14 pm
- Chickenhawk
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Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
resedit wrote:
Chickenhawk wrote:
I wonder if changes in health education has made any difference in those numbers.
I believe it has.
I can't prove it, but I suspect health education has increased the condom use rate, especially in high risk groups.
What I believe we need to work on though is the other vector, IV drug use. I think that clean needles are still too difficult to come by. Sure, it would be nice if they just didn't do drugs, but since people do use IV drugs, until we can figure out a way to effectively drastically reduce such use - clean needles must be readily available for those who will use IV drugs whether they have a clean needle or not.
That's not what I was talking about.
The recent medical controversy over whether vaccinations cause autism reveals a habit of human cognition—thinking anecdotally comes naturally, whereas thinking scientifically does not. -- Michael Shermer
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#5 2008-08-02 8:43 pm
- ShnickyShnack
- ::: title edited due to Satanic influences :::

- From: Rockin' out
- Registered: 2001-05-25
- Posts: 22237
Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
Chickenhawk wrote:
resedit wrote:
Chickenhawk wrote:
I wonder if changes in health education has made any difference in those numbers.
I believe it has.
I can't prove it, but I suspect health education has increased the condom use rate, especially in high risk groups.
What I believe we need to work on though is the other vector, IV drug use. I think that clean needles are still too difficult to come by. Sure, it would be nice if they just didn't do drugs, but since people do use IV drugs, until we can figure out a way to effectively drastically reduce such use - clean needles must be readily available for those who will use IV drugs whether they have a clean needle or not.That's not what I was talking about.
They said the changes were in the way the counted, and the statistical record-keeping and did not reflect an actual increase in cases.
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#6 2008-08-02 8:59 pm
Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
So the question is, did they change the way they count to get results that meet criteria (IE funding, etc.) they wanted?
Is that what you were asking?
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#7 2008-08-02 9:01 pm
- bedstuy
- Archimandrite, Eastern Elite

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- Registered: 2003-09-20
- Posts: 13629
Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
The method of counting since the early days of the epidemic has varied greatly from state to state. For example, Pennsylvania mandating confidential reporting of names of HIV patients 6 years ago, but the bulk of cases (something like 85%) are in Philadelphia county, and the city refused to comply so there were all sorts of court crap. Previous to this there was NO reporting at all of HIV cases -- hence no statistics, making it very hard to figure out how much money was needed from federal Ryan White programs. The thinking is that by mandating the use of name reporting it will discourage actual testing for HIV due to stigmatization of the disease. And when someone isn't tested we all know it just spreads the disease, and it also costs society more money because these infected people suddenly show up in the ER with 2 t-cells instead of commencing treatment at higher lab numbers when the costs are much less (not that it's a cheap disease to treat but I digresss).
Anyway, I know this is just a local example because it's where I live, and I have many friends that work in advocacy positions, but Philadelphia finally started name reporting either this year or last.
Look, this is a disease with lots of social stigma, so it should surprise no one that it's very difficult to get a handle on the actual numbers of infected individuals.
I'll go further and make this thread more fun though -- while Bush has been pumping money into AIDS programs in Africa he's completely flat-funded domestic HIV/AIDS programs for 7.5 years, and now we see that more people need treatment provided by even less money. Now someone please explain the sense in this -- I'd really love to hear it.
I will be happy to comment on other issues of prevention, but you might be interested in looking at the most recent CDC infection reports that show something like a 30% annual increase in the 13-24 age group in minority populations, notably African American and Asians. And of course it's well known that African American women have been the hugest portion of newly infected for years now.
For the most part the gay, middle/upper class white boys learned their lesson in the 80's/90's and at least have more or less stable infection rates.
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#8 2008-08-02 10:49 pm
- Duke Stratosphere
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Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
Great, so now it's a black disease instead of a gay disease. that's just wonderful.
"Make the most of the hemp seed. Sow it everywhere." --George Washington (No party)
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#9 2008-08-02 11:07 pm
- Farmerkev
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Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
How many billions should the US be spending on a disease that currently effects 3/10th of 1% of our population and 5/10th of 1% of the world population?
Do your part to combat global warming.
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#10 2008-08-02 11:44 pm
Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
Farmerkev wrote:
How many billions should the US be spending on a disease that currently effects 3/10th of 1% of our population and 5/10th of 1% of the world population?
Those with the disease impact those without the disease.
They are more likely to carry other sicknesses that are transmittable by any number of means, and due to the high cost of medication, are more likely to be a burden on society. Slowing the spread of the disease is extremely important.
More people may come down with the flu every year, but people coming down with the flu does not have nearly the same negative impact on society in general.
That doesn't mean all the research money being spent is proper, but there is a very definite need to spend money - on research to treat and hopefully eventually cure the disease, research that can reduce the spread of the disease, and money to put into practice methods known to curb the spread of the disease (sex education and clean needle programs).
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#11 2008-08-03 12:04 am
- jerwin
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Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
Farmerkev wrote:
How many billions should the US be spending on a disease that currently effects 3/10th of 1% of our population and 5/10th of 1% of the world population?
Effect some affection, you heartless man! AIDS affects us all.
Last edited by jerwin (2008-08-03 12:06 am)
Some subjects actually enjoy pain, and withhold information they might otherwise have divulged in order to be punished.
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#12 2008-08-03 12:05 am
Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
He has a heart.
It's on his bedroom shelf in a pickle jar.
In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor
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#13 2008-08-03 1:40 am
- Graphic Autist
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Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
Farmerkev wrote:
How many billions should the US be spending on a disease that currently effects 3/10th of 1% of our population and 5/10th of 1% of the world population?
In other words, smurf them, and let them die.
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#14 2008-08-03 2:12 am
- bratboy
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Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
Farmerkev wrote:
How many billions should the US be spending on a disease that currently effects 3/10th of 1% of our population and 5/10th of 1% of the world population?
It's an infectious disease that mutates constantly. I'd say that warrants attention.
"One thing we've learned is there's a difference between being disappointed and having madmen in authority."
--Paul Krugman
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#15 2008-08-03 5:36 am
- Farmerkev
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Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
Graphic Autist wrote:
Farmerkev wrote:
How many billions should the US be spending on a disease that currently effects 3/10th of 1% of our population and 5/10th of 1% of the world population?
In other words, smurf them, and let them die.
The NIH budget per disease
http://www.nih.gov/news/fundingresearchareas.htm
and the leading causes of death
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm
It's estimated 12% of the world's population is malnourished and is the cause of 5 million child deaths per year. The US will spend 2 billion on it this year http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N30428524.htm
that's less than our AIDS budget.
Educate yourself and come back for an adult conversation.
We'll talk about how much 1 disease should be funded over other needs.
Do your part to combat global warming.
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#16 2008-08-03 5:56 am
Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
The unfortunate reality is that the vast majority of starvation happens in countries torn by war, often civil war, and the real problem is getting the food to where it needs to go. The warlords don't allow it. They want the people starving, because with starving people, food is excellent incentive to get the young boys to carry machine guns and commit atrocities for them.
Unless you are willing to commit serious military resources, it's a problem you can only make a minor dent in.
In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor
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#17 2008-08-03 8:19 am
- Tallgeese
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Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
res is right. Relatively speaking, AIDS is cake to cure - just find a vaccine. You don't have to solve the drug addictions or African rape cultures that make AIDS a problem - just solve the virus problem. Malnutrition is the end result of a lot of very difficult (and expensive) problems with no easily distributable cure.
I still believe in liberalism today as much as I ever did, but, oh, there was a happy time when I believed in liberals.
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#18 2008-08-03 8:58 am
- jerwin
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Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
Can we solve the problem of malnourishment without expensive farm subsidies?
Some subjects actually enjoy pain, and withhold information they might otherwise have divulged in order to be punished.
Central Intelligence Agency. (1983). Human Resource Exploitation Training Manual
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#19 2008-08-03 9:10 am
- Farmerkev
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Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
Tallgeese wrote:
res is right. Relatively speaking, AIDS is cake to cure - just find a vaccine. You don't have to solve the drug addictions or African rape cultures that make AIDS a problem - just solve the virus problem. Malnutrition is the end result of a lot of very difficult (and expensive) problems with no easily distributable cure.
Rez is wrong, we've spent many billions on an AIDS cure and we will spend many billions more I'm afraid, it's a terribly tricky bastard. Someday we might find a cure, I hope so anyway but realistically it might never happen.
The question though is how much we spend now, today and what is "underfunded".
AIDS is only one small killer among all the others and the health killers are just one part of all the things money needs spent on.
Sure, somebody is reading this right now and getting ready to quip about the money wasted in Iraq.
Money we didn't have and borrowed and that is causing us economic problems.
The same arguments though can be made about childhood leukemia, the millions starving around the world, the millions suffering from mental illness and thousands of other great needs.
It's easy to sit back and say we need to spend more for this heart string tugger but it's not so easy to take that money from another cause and that's what we're forced to do. For any given year the govt only has so much it can borrow and spend.
Prioritize, it's all we can do.
So, how many billion should be spent on AIDS, a problem that effects a tiny percentage?
Yes, it's terrible for those it does. All the other diseases and problems are terrible for those they effect too.
Do your part to combat global warming.
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#20 2008-08-03 9:12 am
- Chickenhawk
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Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
jerwin wrote:
Can we solve the problem of malnourishment without expensive farm subsidies?
Doctors w/o borders invented this peanut butter compound with enough nutrients to keep children healthy past the most dangerous point for the first couple years of their life.
The recent medical controversy over whether vaccinations cause autism reveals a habit of human cognition—thinking anecdotally comes naturally, whereas thinking scientifically does not. -- Michael Shermer
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#21 2008-08-03 9:19 am
- Farmerkev
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Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
jerwin wrote:
Can we solve the problem of malnourishment without expensive farm subsidies?
You could come up with some more money there, depends on what you want to cut.
If you want to keep conservation programs you're talking about 7 or 8% of the Ag budget (9% of the budget total is for price supports and direct payments), 73% of the budget is already spent on food and nutrition.
Current 5 year funding for food and nutrition is 289 billion for the ag department.
Do your part to combat global warming.
Eat a cow.
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#22 2008-08-03 9:33 am
- jerwin
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Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
Chickenhawk wrote:
jerwin wrote:
Can we solve the problem of malnourishment without expensive farm subsidies?
Doctors w/o borders invented this peanut butter compound with enough nutrients to keep children healthy past the most dangerous point for the first couple years of their life.
Peanut allergens might cause problems, though.
Some subjects actually enjoy pain, and withhold information they might otherwise have divulged in order to be punished.
Central Intelligence Agency. (1983). Human Resource Exploitation Training Manual
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#23 2008-08-03 9:49 am
- jerwin
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- Posts: 7089
Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
Farmerkev wrote:
jerwin wrote:
Can we solve the problem of malnourishment without expensive farm subsidies?
You could come up with some more money there, depends on what you want to cut.
If you want to keep conservation programs you're talking about 7 or 8% of the Ag budget (9% of the budget total is for price supports and direct payments), 73% of the budget is already spent on food and nutrition.
Current 5 year funding for food and nutrition is 289 billion for the ag department.
$50 billion a year? AIDS funding for 2009 is $24.1 billion.
Some subjects actually enjoy pain, and withhold information they might otherwise have divulged in order to be punished.
Central Intelligence Agency. (1983). Human Resource Exploitation Training Manual
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#24 2008-08-03 9:56 am
Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
jerwin wrote:
Chickenhawk wrote:
jerwin wrote:
Can we solve the problem of malnourishment without expensive farm subsidies?
Doctors w/o borders invented this peanut butter compound with enough nutrients to keep children healthy past the most dangerous point for the first couple years of their life.
Peanut allergens might cause problems, though.
It seems that peanut allergies are most common in industrialized nations, where an increasing number of people seem to have it every year. I suspect the high occurrence is a byproduct of something environmental.
Sure - there may be some starving kids who are allergic, but even though this is the first I've heard of it, it could be a godsend to those who are not allergic to it.
There probably is not an edible plant on the planet that someone isn't allergic to.
In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor
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#25 2008-08-03 9:56 am
- Chickenhawk
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Re: CDC: "AIDS numbers? Oh, we miscounted, sorry!"
jerwin wrote:
Chickenhawk wrote:
jerwin wrote:
Can we solve the problem of malnourishment without expensive farm subsidies?
Doctors w/o borders invented this peanut butter compound with enough nutrients to keep children healthy past the most dangerous point for the first couple years of their life.
Peanut allergens might cause problems, though.
Food allergies are actually quite rare in the developing world.
Here's the stuff http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plumpy%27nut
The recent medical controversy over whether vaccinations cause autism reveals a habit of human cognition—thinking anecdotally comes naturally, whereas thinking scientifically does not. -- Michael Shermer
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