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#1 2008-09-11 5:21 pm

radarman
Member
Registered: 2005-02-28
Posts: 3618

Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0908/13357.html

Polls showing John McCain tied or even ahead of Barack Obama are stirring angst and second-guessing among some of the Democratic Party’s most experienced operatives, who worry that Obama squandered opportunities over the summer and may still be underestimating his challenges this fall.

“It’s more than an increased anxiety,” said Doug Schoen, who worked as one of Bill Clinton’s lead pollsters during his 1996 reelection and has worked for both Democrats and independents in recent years. “It’s a palpable frustration. Deep-seated unease in the sense that the message has gotten away from them.”

Joe Trippi, a consultant behind Howard Dean’s flash-in-the-pan presidential campaign in 2004 and John Edwards’ race in 2008, said the Obama campaign was slow to recognize how the selection of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as McCain’s running mate would change the dynamic of the race.

“They were set up to run ‘experience versus change,’ what they had run [against Hillary] Clinton,” Trippi said. “And I think Palin clearly moved that to be change [and] reform, versus change. They are adjusting to that and that threw them off balance a little bit.”

A major Democratic fundraiser described it a good bit more starkly after digesting the polls of recent days: “I’m so depressed. It’s happening again. It’s a nightmare.”

This should be a slam dunk for Democrats. Cripes, we are coming off an 8-year disaster that is coming to a head right around the election. Banks are failing, real wages are down, fuel prices are through the roof (even though oil is down to $103/bbl), and the general mood in the country is sour. You would think we would be so sick of Bush and his cronies we would party on inauguration night just because he's officially out.

And yet, here we are. McCain - a virtual duplicate of Bush - is polling at, or even above, Obama. What's going on?

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#2 2008-09-11 5:25 pm

Tallgeese
Sternly Advising
From: Pool Party
Registered: 2000-10-17
Posts: 34096

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

What's going on is that there are a lot of people who do not agree with your assessment that McCane is a virtual duplicate of Bush.


I still believe in liberalism today as much as I ever did, but, oh, there was a happy time when I believed in liberals.

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#3 2008-09-11 5:27 pm

Freakout Jackson
Meme-free
From: ::moderated like a mo-fo::
Registered: 2001-08-21
Posts: 6373

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

HESBLACK


"Perhaps if there were more Americans who had the courage to stand up to idiocy maybe we wouldn't have such an awful country." ~ VegasACF

I couldn't deal with a clone of myself. I would probably kill him inside a week, and tell the police it was justifiable homisuicide, and tell them to sit around and hang out with me for a week to show them why. ~ Dan

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#4 2008-09-11 5:38 pm

Metacell
misanthropist
From: The space between the spaces
Registered: 2005-03-19
Posts: 5863
Website

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

Tallgeese wrote:

What's going on is that there are a lot of people who do not agree with your assessment that McCane is a virtual duplicate of Bush.

Or at least they choose not to listen with that part of their brain.

It's the same campaign team...its the same campaign.  It's more Karl Rove.


Ho Eyo He Hum

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#5 2008-09-11 5:49 pm

Tallgeese
Sternly Advising
From: Pool Party
Registered: 2000-10-17
Posts: 34096

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

I don't think McCane is a Bush clone. Yes, he has the same dirty campaign team. He agrees with most of Bush's policies. But all that means is that he fits to a great degree the "Generic Republican Politician" mold. Bush has his own little quirks and so does McCane. Obama and Hillary (and Bill) aren't clones even though they support 90% the same things.


I still believe in liberalism today as much as I ever did, but, oh, there was a happy time when I believed in liberals.

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#6 2008-09-11 5:52 pm

Farmerkev
Official Dementor
Moderator
Registered: 2003-01-03
Posts: 18622

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

I think Geese is right and there are several things in McCain's past, the judges compromise for instance, for people to draw that conclusion.


Do your part to combat global warming.
Eat a cow.

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#7 2008-09-11 6:02 pm

JakeTheTall
Cargo Cultist
From: In Permanent Opposition
Registered: 2003-03-13
Posts: 9612

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

I think everyone should remember that John McCain is a patriot and was a prisoner-of-war for five years and loves his country and is always proud of it and likes putting lipstick on pets.


Jesus said to the servants, "Fill the jars with water"; so they filled them to the brim.  Then he told them, "Now draw some out and take it to the master of the banquet."  They did so, and the master of the banquet tasted the water that had been turned into wine. He did not realize where it had come from, though the servants who had drawn the water knew.

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#8 2008-09-11 6:02 pm

daemon
blank prince HAL
From: Golden Road (Out of Perdition)
Registered: 2008-01-03
Posts: 3649
Website

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

Is that the Gang of 14?

And Alito?

Some observers have characterized the 14 as moderates. But that's not exactly accurate. On the Republican side, it would be fair to call Maine's Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins moderates. But Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island is as close to a Republican liberal as you could find. And while Mike DeWine of Ohio is considered a moderate conservative, John McCain (AZ), John Warner (VA) and Lindsey Graham (SC) are reliable conservatives on most issues. Nearly all the Democrats in the group, however, are considered moderates: Ben Nelson (NE), Mark Pryor (AR), Joseph Lieberman (CT), Mary Landrieu (LA) and Ken Salazar (CO). Hawaii's Daniel Inouye, though, is a liberal. And for the most part, Robert Byrd -- the senior member of the Senate -- is beyond ideological categorization.

One thing that most of the 14 senators may have in common is a maverick streak -- a willingness, at times, to put partisanship aside and work for a compromise. And that's what brought the "Gang of 14" together. Here is a snapshot look at the group:

REPUBLICANS (7):


Brigid O'Shaughnessy: I haven't lived a good life. I've been bad, worse than you could know.
Sam Spade: You know, that's good, because if you actually were as innocent as you pretend to be, we'd never get anywhere.
http://sitruc.blip.tv/file/2661495/

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#9 2008-09-11 6:03 pm

bedstuy
Archimandrite, Eastern Elite
From: King Cole Bar, St. Regis Hotel
Registered: 2003-09-20
Posts: 13628

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

Actually I think it has more to do with McCain's pre-existing high favorability ratings, not anything to do with policies being like or unlike Bush.  Your average voter doesn't pay near as much attention to such policy differences or similarities as we all do.

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#10 2008-09-11 6:37 pm

bratboy
laden with emotion
Royal Wombat
From: Austin, Texas
Registered: 2003-01-19
Posts: 34106

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

It's only been a frickin' week since the GOP convention!

Democrats would be wringing their hands at this point no matter who was chosen.  The map still does not favor McCain, but democrats need to stop acting like all is lost because McCain is leading by a few points in national polling the week after the party's convention.  The press is picking up on it.


"One thing we've learned is there's a difference between being disappointed and having madmen in authority."

                                                                   --Paul Krugman

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#11 2008-09-11 6:43 pm

Tallgeese
Sternly Advising
From: Pool Party
Registered: 2000-10-17
Posts: 34096

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

There's been a bit of surprise, I must say. For one, McCane hasn't led Obama since Obama clinched the nomination. For another, a lot of us were expecting the Palin choice to torpedo McCane since it was so obviously "political" rather than based on ability to serve as Vice President.


I still believe in liberalism today as much as I ever did, but, oh, there was a happy time when I believed in liberals.

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#12 2008-09-11 6:44 pm

radarman
Member
Registered: 2005-02-28
Posts: 3618

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

Tallgeese wrote:

What's going on is that there are a lot of people who do not agree with your assessment that McCane is a virtual duplicate of Bush.

Well, he is older, has a better gasp of the English language, and uses complete sentences in speeches. Other than that, I'm not seeing a whole lot of differences?

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#13 2008-09-11 7:06 pm

bratboy
laden with emotion
Royal Wombat
From: Austin, Texas
Registered: 2003-01-19
Posts: 34106

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

Tallgeese wrote:

There's been a bit of surprise, I must say. For one, McCane hasn't led Obama since Obama clinched the nomination. For another, a lot of us were expecting the Palin choice to torpedo McCane since it was so obviously "political" rather than based on ability to serve as Vice President.

This is true, but no one should have been surprised.

McCain is not blowing Obama out of the water.  He's running a incredibly nasty campaign and has picked a surprise running mate who is exciting the base.  But it's only been a week, and in the majority of polls he's only a couple of points ahead.  She could still end up being a liability.

I don't believe that Palin matters a whole lot.  People will ultimately vote for the name at the top of the ticket.


"One thing we've learned is there's a difference between being disappointed and having madmen in authority."

                                                                   --Paul Krugman

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#14 2008-09-11 10:36 pm

Metacell
misanthropist
From: The space between the spaces
Registered: 2005-03-19
Posts: 5863
Website

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

Tallgeese wrote:

I don't think McCane is a Bush clone. Yes, he has the same dirty campaign team. He agrees with most of Bush's policies. But all that means is that he fits to a great degree the "Generic Republican Politician" mold. Bush has his own little quirks and so does McCane. Obama and Hillary (and Bill) aren't clones even though they support 90% the same things.

Dude, obviously he's not literally a clone.  Is that what you thought people have been saying?  In fact I'm almost positive that he's more intelligent and reasonable.  But the president is just one part of a regime, and not always a very critical one.  It's still the same republican regime that enabled Bush.


Ho Eyo He Hum

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#15 2008-09-11 10:42 pm

Farmerkev
Official Dementor
Moderator
Registered: 2003-01-03
Posts: 18622

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

Metacell wrote:

Tallgeese wrote:

I don't think McCane is a Bush clone. Yes, he has the same dirty campaign team. He agrees with most of Bush's policies. But all that means is that he fits to a great degree the "Generic Republican Politician" mold. Bush has his own little quirks and so does McCane. Obama and Hillary (and Bill) aren't clones even though they support 90% the same things.

Dude, obviously he's not literally a clone.  Is that what you thought people have been saying?  In fact I'm almost positive that he's more intelligent and reasonable.  But the president is just one part of a regime, and not always a very critical one.  It's still the same republican regime that enabled Bush.

Actually, it isn't.
Congress is controlled, and about to be even more controlled, by the D's.


Do your part to combat global warming.
Eat a cow.

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#16 2008-09-11 10:47 pm

bedstuy
Archimandrite, Eastern Elite
From: King Cole Bar, St. Regis Hotel
Registered: 2003-09-20
Posts: 13628

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

Farmerkev wrote:

Metacell wrote:

Tallgeese wrote:

I don't think McCane is a Bush clone. Yes, he has the same dirty campaign team. He agrees with most of Bush's policies. But all that means is that he fits to a great degree the "Generic Republican Politician" mold. Bush has his own little quirks and so does McCane. Obama and Hillary (and Bill) aren't clones even though they support 90% the same things.

Dude, obviously he's not literally a clone.  Is that what you thought people have been saying?  In fact I'm almost positive that he's more intelligent and reasonable.  But the president is just one part of a regime, and not always a very critical one.  It's still the same republican regime that enabled Bush.

Actually, it isn't.
Congress is controlled, and about to be even more controlled, by the D's.

I think he may have been referring to McSame's campaign advisors, not Congress -- at least that's what I read into it.

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#17 2008-09-11 10:47 pm

Tallgeese
Sternly Advising
From: Pool Party
Registered: 2000-10-17
Posts: 34096

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

Metacell wrote:

Tallgeese wrote:

I don't think McCane is a Bush clone. Yes, he has the same dirty campaign team. He agrees with most of Bush's policies. But all that means is that he fits to a great degree the "Generic Republican Politician" mold. Bush has his own little quirks and so does McCane. Obama and Hillary (and Bill) aren't clones even though they support 90% the same things.

Dude, obviously he's not literally a clone.  Is that what you thought people have been saying?  In fact I'm almost positive that he's more intelligent and reasonable.  But the president is just one part of a regime, and not always a very critical one.  It's still the same republican regime that enabled Bush.

I've been hearing about "McBush" "Bush's clone" and "Bush's carbon copy" enough in the past few months to think that yes, people have been saying that.


I still believe in liberalism today as much as I ever did, but, oh, there was a happy time when I believed in liberals.

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#18 2008-09-12 12:59 am

ShnickyShnack
::: title edited due to Satanic influences :::
From: Rockin' out
Registered: 2001-05-25
Posts: 22237

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

Personally I think there are two things at work. First, the Republicans have gone from divided and weak-assed to energized and full of gusto; second, and most importantly, the Palin nomination has caused a major stir. Whatever we may think of her, her nomination was incredibly daring. It attracted a ton of attention, especially among women voters; who now support McCan't in greater numbers than they support not-Hillary. And let's face it, whatever the state-by-state is saying, the major erosion of female support for the Dems is a very big deal. This whole thing caught the Democrats completely off-guard and unprepared.

Sad to say I think the dems are right to be smurfing bricks.


Note: please delete this post.

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#19 2008-09-12 2:23 am

resedit
Chicken Little
Royal Wombat
From: /dev/null
Registered: 1999-11-01
Posts: 50394
Website

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

The Palin nomination may mean the republicans will be the first to put a woman in the white house.
Sure - the Dems tried many moons ago. I think the Dems are afraid that they will fail to put Obama in - thus not being the first to put a non cracker in - and watch the repubs get the glory for being the first to put a non male in.

Furthermore, it's no secret that McCain is old. He probably has four years in him, but he may not have 8 - so we could conceivably end up with the republican party being the first to have a female at the top spot.

I think Biden was an OK second seat nomination, but he was a safe nomination - nothing daring, nothing exciting, nothing that is causing a stir and causing heads to turn, and I think the Democratic party is regretting that to some extent.

And yes - I think Palin is drawing the right together. No one knows her well enough to hate her, but the effect she is having on the left is bringing music to their ears, so they love her.


In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor

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#20 2008-09-12 7:49 am

bratboy
laden with emotion
Royal Wombat
From: Austin, Texas
Registered: 2003-01-19
Posts: 34106

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

resedit wrote:

I think Biden was an OK second seat nomination, but he was a safe nomination - nothing daring, nothing exciting, nothing that is causing a stir and causing heads to turn, and I think the Democratic party is regretting that to some extent.

Yes, who ever heard of a "safe" pick for the VP spot.  The choice says more about the sad state that McCain's campaign was in beforehand than it does about anything else.  It was a terribly cynical pick.

And yes - I think Palin is drawing the right together. No one knows her well enough to hate her, but the effect she is having on the left is bringing music to their ears, so they love her.

Shouldn't matter too much.  McCain was polling fine with the right prior to his choice of Palin.  Perhaps now they'll be voting with enthusiasm instead of holding their nose, but the GOP is still looking at a large deficit in new voter registration.


"One thing we've learned is there's a difference between being disappointed and having madmen in authority."

                                                                   --Paul Krugman

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#21 2008-09-12 7:54 am

NokX
Member of the Month
From: Knoxville, TN
Registered: 2000-07-17
Posts: 6301

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

even the darling VP pick Biden is having second thoughts.

Hillary Clinton is as qualified or more qualified than I am to be vice-president of the United States of America. Let's get that straight. She's a truly close personal friend...quite frankly, it might have been a better pick than me.

http://weblogs.sun-sentinel.com/features/health/theskinny/blog/debbie_downer.jpg

Wahhh wahhhhhh...


"This country, with its institutions, belongs to the people who inhabit it. Whenever they shall grow weary of the existing government, they can exercise their constitutional right of amending it, or exercise their revolutionary right to overthrow it." Abraham Lincoln

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#22 2008-09-12 8:23 am

user
Your plastic pal who's fun to be with
From: I'm not getting you down, am I
Registered: 2001-10-15
Posts: 16030

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

resedit wrote:

The Palin nomination may mean the republicans will be the first to put a woman in the white house.
Sure - the Dems tried many moons ago. I think the Dems are afraid that they will fail to put Obama in - thus not being the first to put a non cracker in - and watch the repubs get the glory for being the first to put a non male in.

Furthermore, it's no secret that McCain is old. He probably has four years in him, but he may not have 8 - so we could conceivably end up with the republican party being the first to have a female at the top spot.

I really doubt Palin's going to last four years in the White House without seriously pissing someone off. That or, cynically, the Republicans actually intend to get rid of her shortly after the election. That's much easier to do with the veep.


Aw, he's no fun, he fell right over.

Unless you become as little children, there's no way you will believe this crap.

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#23 2008-09-12 8:41 am

StaticAge
Fearless Vampire Killer
From: Crouching in your pea patch
Registered: 2002-08-28
Posts: 6935
Website

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

bedstuy wrote:

Farmerkev wrote:

Metacell wrote:

Dude, obviously he's not literally a clone.  Is that what you thought people have been saying?  In fact I'm almost positive that he's more intelligent and reasonable.  But the president is just one part of a regime, and not always a very critical one.  It's still the same republican regime that enabled Bush.

Actually, it isn't.
Congress is controlled, and about to be even more controlled, by the D's.

I think he may have been referring to McSame's campaign advisors, not Congress -- at least that's what I read into it.

Karl Rove is seriously pure evil so thick and viscous it makes molasses shudder. I realize McCain wants to win, and that Rove, honestly, may be the quickest ticket to get there, but if you want to talk about McSame- thats what causes me worry. With Bush, I had the impression that he was being basically led around, then got his presidency, then his cabinet dudes all basically wrote a ton of "executive orders" for the office expanding the authority of the executive branch. But does Rove do this for all elections? Just work his evil and then profit from it from the sidelines? Its as if Rove has more authority than any of them- they leave, and then he sets everything up for the new guy too. Anyway, McCain's a punk for letting that creep in on his campaign, especially after all the dirty tricks he ran for Bush AGAINST McCain eight years ago or so.

Last edited by StaticAge (2008-09-12 8:41 am)


"Live with your head in the lion's mouth. I want you to overcome 'em with yeses, undermine 'em with grins, agree 'em to death and destruction, let 'em swoller you till they vomit or bust wide open." -Ralph Ellison

"Overpower, overcome" -Cro-Mags

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#24 2008-09-12 9:07 am

ShnickyShnack
::: title edited due to Satanic influences :::
From: Rockin' out
Registered: 2001-05-25
Posts: 22237

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

resedit wrote:

The Palin nomination may mean the republicans will be the first to put a woman in the white house.
Sure - the Dems tried many moons ago. I think the Dems are afraid that they will fail to put Obama in - thus not being the first to put a non cracker in - and watch the repubs get the glory for being the first to put a non male in.

Furthermore, it's no secret that McCain is old. He probably has four years in him, but he may not have 8 - so we could conceivably end up with the republican party being the first to have a female at the top spot.

I think Biden was an OK second seat nomination, but he was a safe nomination - nothing daring, nothing exciting, nothing that is causing a stir and causing heads to turn, and I think the Democratic party is regretting that to some extent.

And yes - I think Palin is drawing the right together. No one knows her well enough to hate her, but the effect she is having on the left is bringing music to their ears, so they love her.

I think you raise a good point about the legacy issue. If it turns out the first woman to actually get into the office is a Republican, it will seriously shake the Dems. Certainly at this point she seems like much more of a contender than Geraldine "he had it easy 'cause he's black" Ferraro ever did.


Note: please delete this post.

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#25 2008-09-12 9:31 am

user
Your plastic pal who's fun to be with
From: I'm not getting you down, am I
Registered: 2001-10-15
Posts: 16030

Re: Dems having second thoughts on nomination?

Well, it IS quite a few years later, Hilary softened up the field with her own campaign, the Democratic Presidential candidate is difficult for the racially-challenged to accept and Palin is paired with a stronger candidate than Ferraro was.


Aw, he's no fun, he fell right over.

Unless you become as little children, there's no way you will believe this crap.

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