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#1 2008-10-03 1:34 am
Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
I was just listening to the vice-presidential debate on NPR as I drove home this evening. I must say, given how she's quite recently fumbled the ball when attempting to answer questions, Governor Palin sounds like she's articulating herself quite well.
Sure, her gosh-darn-its and golly-gee-whiz-isms are just too cloying to stomach, and her incessant cutesiness reminds me too much of certain women I've known who were pathologically seductive for all the wrong reasons, but the bottom line is that she's hitting all the right talking points without putting her foot in her mouth, and she's doing so without straying into territory that might alarm so-called moderate or "swing" voters.
Yes, Biden is more than holding his own, and will probably be seen as the debate's "winner" if logic, critical thinking, and facts are given much weight, but what difference will that make? Most Americans had no idea who Biden was prior to tonight, and that will still hold true tomorrow morning. Palin is the one everybody's got their eye on, and she's the one people will remember afterwards. The debate is hers to lose.
"It's better to be a pirate than to join the Navy."
--Steve Jobs
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#2 2008-10-03 2:33 am
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
Bless her heart.
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#3 2008-10-03 2:40 am
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
Wait, who is this Biden guy, and why is Obama choosing a running mate no one has ever heard of?
In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor
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#4 2008-10-03 3:12 am
- test
- Member
- From: Collingwood, Ont., CANADA
- Registered: 2002-12-13
- Posts: 5300
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
Nice to hear they finally got her meds sorted out.
Patience is a virtue of the weak for it makes them stand still long enough for the strong to crush them with ease.
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#5 2008-10-03 3:58 am
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
Seems she winked multiple times at the camera. That has gotten negative comment from the usual left suspect blogs. That wouldn't come through on the radio.
About the prediction: from just a cursory reading post-debate, I'd not wager on much of any change in the polling. In fact, barring some deus-ex-mach, a week from now the trends will be the same.
Soon after her name 'popped' - say that first weekend, I said by Nov. she'd be seen as 'extreme' and 'out of the mainstream.'
Nothing has happened to change that estimate.
Come Nov. her approvals/disapprovals will be worse than today. The 'Hail Mary' will fall incomplete at best; it may be 'intercepted'...leading to further erosion of the 'brand'.
Brigid O'Shaughnessy: I haven't lived a good life. I've been bad, worse than you could know.
Sam Spade: You know, that's good, because if you actually were as innocent as you pretend to be, we'd never get anywhere.
http://sitruc.blip.tv/file/2661495/
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#6 2008-10-03 6:03 am
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
Oh. I don't think she claims to be a 'bulldog' - pitbull.
http://t-shirts.cafepress.com/item/sara … /302063756
Looks like Pariah's beloved avatar on that shirt to me.
Now, here's Politico's dynaduo Allen&Harris:
Millions of Americans were watching Thursday night’s vice-presidential debate waiting for a demolition derby moment — another crash by GOP running mate Sarah Palin, another serving of raw material for the writers at "Saturday Night Live."
By that standard, she got out alive, though there were white-knuckle moments along the way: questions that were answered with painfully obvious talking points that betrayed scant knowledge of the issue at hand, and sometimes little relevance to the question that had been asked.
So, there WON'T be more SNL skits tomorrow night riffing on this performance? Wanna bet?
The 'By that standard, she got out alive..' is saying: "Even though she proved again that she's not qualified and woefully underprepared and under-informed, THERE'S NOTHING THAT CAN DISQUALIFY HER. (In fact, we see no smoking gun.)
::puking wretching and migraine::
THAT is how the alleged uptick in approval MIGHT be orchestrated.
Brigid O'Shaughnessy: I haven't lived a good life. I've been bad, worse than you could know.
Sam Spade: You know, that's good, because if you actually were as innocent as you pretend to be, we'd never get anywhere.
http://sitruc.blip.tv/file/2661495/
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#7 2008-10-03 6:28 am
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
Even that liberal Boston Globe (NYTEast):
The debate probably didn't help or hurt either ticket
The two presidential candidates excelled at explaining their positions and left voters with a good sense of what they could expect from either one.
It was a mistake, however, for her to try to answer Biden's informed, detailed answers on foreign policy with folksy comments. Her depiction of nuclear weapons as the "be all, end all" for "just too many people" and her praise of Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice for "trying to forge that peace," sounded off key.
OFF KEY!? Try rambling mishmash undecipherable insanity. I suppose not drooling helped.
Most instapolls I've seen have Biden 2-1 winner and better prepared to be in the Oval Office taking that 3am call.
More Globularity:
Still, some people had expected even less from her. After a few shaky performances in TV interviews, Palin's basic fitness was being questioned; some people wondered if she'd embarrass herself and McCain.
But last night, in her feisty first half of the debate, she showed why she can be an asset to McCain. And her later, shakier performance still wasn't bad enough to raise new fears about her competence.
That's probably enough to declare the debate a success for Palin.
Let's see what polling looks like a week from now after the liberal media give her a 'draw' and find no DQ - or smoking gun. 'She's not as crazy as she looks.' might just be the message that works.
But, I wonder if it's not too late to change the cementing conventional wisdom of the electorate.
Last edited by daemon (2008-10-03 6:32 am)
Brigid O'Shaughnessy: I haven't lived a good life. I've been bad, worse than you could know.
Sam Spade: You know, that's good, because if you actually were as innocent as you pretend to be, we'd never get anywhere.
http://sitruc.blip.tv/file/2661495/
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#8 2008-10-03 9:25 am
- Tallgeese
- Sternly Advising
- From: Pool Party
- Registered: 2000-10-17
- Posts: 34108
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
You betcha.
I still believe in liberalism today as much as I ever did, but, oh, there was a happy time when I believed in liberals.
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#9 2008-10-03 9:45 am
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
I used to like that phrase. 
Brigid O'Shaughnessy: I haven't lived a good life. I've been bad, worse than you could know.
Sam Spade: You know, that's good, because if you actually were as innocent as you pretend to be, we'd never get anywhere.
http://sitruc.blip.tv/file/2661495/
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#10 2008-10-03 9:47 am
- sturner
- Royal High Poobah
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Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
I thought she resembled an annoying person with ADD.
I'm not dead yet.
There are 3 types of people, those who can count and those who can't.
"There are few things graven in stone, excepting your date of death."
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#11 2008-10-03 3:02 pm
- D'Eyncourt
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Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
Palin benefitted from lowered expectations. Even her conservative supporters were fearful of some on-camera gaffe, so since she didn't make one Palin "won."
BOYCOTT SONY
"I think the question now is not whether you went to Vietnam or whether you didn't, whether you fought in the war or fought against the war. I think the only question is whether we can find a president smart enough never to make a mistake like that again"--Molly Ivins, way back in 1992
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#12 2008-10-03 3:09 pm
- radarman
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Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
D'Eyncourt wrote:
Palin benefitted from lowered expectations. Even her conservative supporters were fearful of some on-camera gaffe, so since she didn't make one Palin "won."
Ah, the beauty of lowered standards. At this point, either candidate would be a 'step up' from Shrub Jr. Hell, anyone capable of speaking in complete sentences would be an improvement. By this standard, Palin should have run directly, rather than waiting to get picked up as a running mate.
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#13 2008-10-03 3:18 pm
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
what kind of sentences?
Brigid O'Shaughnessy: I haven't lived a good life. I've been bad, worse than you could know.
Sam Spade: You know, that's good, because if you actually were as innocent as you pretend to be, we'd never get anywhere.
http://sitruc.blip.tv/file/2661495/
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#14 2008-10-03 3:35 pm
- radarman
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Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
daemon wrote:
what kind of sentences?
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#15 2008-10-03 4:16 pm
- D'Eyncourt
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Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
radarman wrote:
D'Eyncourt wrote:
Palin benefitted from lowered expectations. Even her conservative supporters were fearful of some on-camera gaffe, so since she didn't make one Palin "won."
Ah, the beauty of lowered standards. At this point, either candidate would be a 'step up' from Shrub Jr. Hell, anyone capable of speaking in complete sentences would be an improvement. By this standard, Palin should have run directly, rather than waiting to get picked up as a running mate.
Well, she does have the most executive experience of the 4 running for Prez and Veep. 
BOYCOTT SONY
"I think the question now is not whether you went to Vietnam or whether you didn't, whether you fought in the war or fought against the war. I think the only question is whether we can find a president smart enough never to make a mistake like that again"--Molly Ivins, way back in 1992
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#16 2008-10-03 4:56 pm
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
radarman wrote:
daemon wrote:
what kind of sentences?
http://www.slate.com/id/2201158/
http://www.236.com/news/2008/10/02/diag … 1_9246.php
Brigid O'Shaughnessy: I haven't lived a good life. I've been bad, worse than you could know.
Sam Spade: You know, that's good, because if you actually were as innocent as you pretend to be, we'd never get anywhere.
http://sitruc.blip.tv/file/2661495/
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#17 2008-10-03 5:25 pm
- radarman
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- Registered: 2005-02-28
- Posts: 3637
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
daemon wrote:
radarman wrote:
daemon wrote:
what kind of sentences?
http://www.slate.com/id/2201158/
http://www.236.com/news/2008/10/02/diag … 1_9246.php
Hmm, I've always considered Palin to be a female intellectual clone of Shrub Jr; and this adds even more evidence...
I suppose you have a point there.
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#18 2008-10-03 5:33 pm
- JakeTheTall
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- From: In Permanent Opposition
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Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
I don't know that Gov. Palin stupid. Its clear she's ignorant, and covers that up with blathering. You betcha !
Jesus said to the servants, "Fill the jars with water"; so they filled them to the brim. Then he told them, "Now draw some out and take it to the master of the banquet." They did so, and the master of the banquet tasted the water that had been turned into wine. He did not realize where it had come from, though the servants who had drawn the water knew.
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#19 2008-10-03 5:38 pm
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
It's called double talk. The point is to insert as many words that the meaning of what you are saying completely invisible. The words don't even have to correlate to each other. In fact, it works better when they don't.
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#20 2008-10-03 5:46 pm
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
Heh. This is just terrific:
http://thepage.time.com/palin-on-fox-news-friday/
In the last :30 or so, she says that Obama's DQ'd because of Iraq/Afghan and ....
Brigid O'Shaughnessy: I haven't lived a good life. I've been bad, worse than you could know.
Sam Spade: You know, that's good, because if you actually were as innocent as you pretend to be, we'd never get anywhere.
http://sitruc.blip.tv/file/2661495/
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#21 2008-10-03 6:27 pm
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
Oh. Wow.
http://www.cafepress.com/sarahpalingear.302909140
I don't know - I kind of think a presidential/vp candidate should be a notch or two above cafe press.
In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor
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#22 2008-10-03 6:39 pm
- Tallgeese
- Sternly Advising
- From: Pool Party
- Registered: 2000-10-17
- Posts: 34108
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
I still believe in liberalism today as much as I ever did, but, oh, there was a happy time when I believed in liberals.
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#23 2008-10-04 3:17 am
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
So, a little bit after her name was picked I said here that I thought it would backfire w/women. Specifically, the targeted 'hillary' voter. Working women of a certain 'boomer' age. Who've seen what sleeping with the boss will get the 'pretty' one. Unfair advance, etc.
Now, given this is further down the road, and just after we've seen the Palin wink at work, and this person was probably not predisposed to vote R (a usual suspect left blog commenter). But still this is the essence:
The thing that really pisses me off about the Veep Debate is that We the People were invited to witness the job interview for the second most powerful office in the country and some hick thinks it is a joke…… wink wink….. smerk and ya Betcha…
As a woman who has been in the workforce more than 30 years first as a nurse then a software engineer….. I find her performance offensive and degrading to women everywhere…….
How many others more in the 'center' have that same visceral reaction, maybe without even really being aware of it, I wonder.
Brigid O'Shaughnessy: I haven't lived a good life. I've been bad, worse than you could know.
Sam Spade: You know, that's good, because if you actually were as innocent as you pretend to be, we'd never get anywhere.
http://sitruc.blip.tv/file/2661495/
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#24 2008-10-04 12:11 pm
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
She outright refused to answer questions, instead spending the time on the only talking points she's had time to get comfortable with. Even when she did put together a coherent sentence (which was surprisingly often) that was somewhat related to the question (which was not as often) she still looked like she was only barely keeping a severe case of the nervous shakes at bay by the skin of her teeth.
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#25 2008-10-05 11:08 am
Re: Prediction: The Bulldog in Lipstick's Approval Rating's About to go Up
Coupla things:
1) I'm not exactly prepared to make Governor Golly-Gee the focal point of any kinda feminist tirade, but I think every professional journalist or blogger who uses the word "feisty" in relation to her should be required to then publish at least one piece per day, for the next 2 weeks, in which they are forced to find some justification for describing Obama or McCain -or any man- as "feisty."
Rally cars are feisty. Senile old people becoming irate at the Apple Store because their Internet doesn't work are feisty.
Angry shrews are feisty.
Calling a woman "feisty" because she exhibits qualities of assertiveness, ambition, self-confidence, leadership, poise, or competitiveness is not too different from saying she's shrewish.
2) You think Miss Congeniality-with-a-gun might possibly be hurt by the fact that she seems to be, well, --if not completely out of touch with reality like George W-- at least somewhat bereft of experience and unaware of the big world around her?
Remember, The Hottie & McCain* are faced with the uphill battle of running as the candidates of change, despite being from the same criminal organization, I mean political party, as the incumbents they hope to replace. It helps the Hottie** if she seems confused by the strange ways of our nation's leaders and the esoteric thought exercises which they constantly puzzle out with reporters and other fast-talking big-city types.
Once upon a time, an evangelical Christian from some backwards redneck hell-hole came before the voters and said, "I've never been to Washington."
That was his whole platform, and it worked.
The American people were so disappointed with Washington that they were quite willing to take a chance on Jimmy Carter.
Voters today are, shall we say, just a little, eensy-weensy-bit more disappointed now that they were back then.
*Sounds like a great name for a new TV show, don't it? Has a sort of "Hardcastle & McCormick" ring to it. If you happen to spy me in your building any time soon, you might wanna just take the stairs so as to avoid my elevator pitch.
** I am offended by my demeaning, objectifying use of the term "hottie," and feel that I should be required to post at least one message per day, for the next 2 weeks, in which I'm forced to find some justification for describing Obama or McCain -or any man- as a "hottie."
"It's better to be a pirate than to join the Navy."
--Steve Jobs
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