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#1 2009-01-02 5:35 pm

resedit
Chicken Little
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From: /dev/null
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Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

Greenhouse gases could have caused an ice age, claim scientists

The scientists studied limestone rocks and found evidence that large amounts of greenhouse gas coincided with a prolonged period of freezing temperatures.

Such glaciation could happen again if global warming is not curbed, the university's school of geography, earth and environmental sciences warned.

Last edited by resedit (2009-01-02 5:36 pm)


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#2 2009-01-02 6:27 pm

ShnickyShnack
::: title edited due to Satanic influences :::
From: Rockin' out
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

There was an ice age in the last 6,000 years?
confused


Note: please delete this post.

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#3 2009-01-02 6:29 pm

Hank Rearden
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From: Republic of Western Canada
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

The more of this that I see in the media (of all stripes), and the more talks that I go to, the more I get the impression that no one really knows what they're talking about.

Here's another link from that same source:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/enviro … exist.html

And another:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/colu … roved.html


The gross heathenism of civilization has generally destroyed nature, and poetry, and all that is spiritual. -John Muir-

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#4 2009-01-02 6:29 pm

Hank Rearden
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From: Republic of Western Canada
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Posts: 7044
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

ShnickyShnack wrote:

There was an ice age in the last 6,000 years?
confused

Sometime around the flood, I think.


The gross heathenism of civilization has generally destroyed nature, and poetry, and all that is spiritual. -John Muir-

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#5 2009-01-02 6:33 pm

mo' ron
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From: NC, USA
Registered: 2002-10-15
Posts: 14247

Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

Hank Rearden wrote:

The more of this that I see in the media (of all stripes), and the more talks that I go to, the more I get the impression that no one really knows what they're talking about.

Here's another link from that same source:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/enviro … exist.html

Himalayan glaciers
A report by the UN Environment Program this year claimed that the cause of melting glaciers in the Himalayas was not global warming but the local warming effect of a vast "atmospheric brown cloud" over that region, made up of soot particles from Asia's dramatically increased burning of fossil fuels and deforestation.

It's possible that they may not actually know what they're talking about, but doesn't this exemplify very clearly that humans can have a measurable impact on the climate?


What is the difference between Vista and OSX?
- Microsoft employees are excited about OSX.

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#6 2009-01-02 6:56 pm

Farmerkev
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

mo' ron wrote:

Hank Rearden wrote:

The more of this that I see in the media (of all stripes), and the more talks that I go to, the more I get the impression that no one really knows what they're talking about.

Here's another link from that same source:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/enviro … exist.html

Himalayan glaciers
A report by the UN Environment Program this year claimed that the cause of melting glaciers in the Himalayas was not global warming but the local warming effect of a vast "atmospheric brown cloud" over that region, made up of soot particles from Asia's dramatically increased burning of fossil fuels and deforestation.

It's possible that they may not actually know what they're talking about, but doesn't this exemplify very clearly that humans can have a measurable impact on the climate?

You want me to explain what you did wrong here or figure it out yourself?


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#7 2009-01-02 7:08 pm

mo' ron
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From: NC, USA
Registered: 2002-10-15
Posts: 14247

Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

Farmerkev wrote:

mo' ron wrote:

Hank Rearden wrote:

The more of this that I see in the media (of all stripes), and the more talks that I go to, the more I get the impression that no one really knows what they're talking about.

Here's another link from that same source:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/enviro … exist.html

Himalayan glaciers
A report by the UN Environment Program this year claimed that the cause of melting glaciers in the Himalayas was not global warming but the local warming effect of a vast "atmospheric brown cloud" over that region, made up of soot particles from Asia's dramatically increased burning of fossil fuels and deforestation.

It's possible that they may not actually know what they're talking about, but doesn't this exemplify very clearly that humans can have a measurable impact on the climate?

You want me to explain what you did wrong here or figure it out yourself?

I forgot to include an ellipsis, sorry.


What is the difference between Vista and OSX?
- Microsoft employees are excited about OSX.

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#8 2009-01-02 7:48 pm

jerwin
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From: The Garden of Pure Ideology
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

The sun was dimmer then. The albedo was higher. The carbon cycle was different.


Some subjects actually enjoy pain, and withhold information they might otherwise have divulged in order to be punished.
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#9 2009-01-02 8:34 pm

avkills
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

I don't really thing anyone knows what is going to happen.  Although I can attest that it does seem to be getting warmer; Winters in Colorado keep getting warmer and warmer with less and less snow fall in the city.

I just biked today since it was 60 degrees. shrug

-mark

Last edited by avkills (2009-01-02 8:35 pm)

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#10 2009-01-02 8:53 pm

jerwin
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

A short, nonscientific article about the article and its author, Huiming Bao

Essentially, the large carbon dioxide buildup provided enough of a greenhouse effect to counteract the albedo effect and melt the glaciers.

and here's a link to Bao's 2008 paper

Last edited by jerwin (2009-01-02 8:55 pm)


Some subjects actually enjoy pain, and withhold information they might otherwise have divulged in order to be punished.
Central Intelligence Agency. (1983). Human Resource Exploitation Training Manual

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#11 2009-01-02 9:43 pm

resedit
Chicken Little
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

avkills wrote:

I don't really thing anyone knows what is going to happen.  Although I can attest that it does seem to be getting warmer; Winters in Colorado keep getting warmer and warmer with less and less snow fall in the city.

I just biked today since it was 60 degrees. shrug

-mark

Getting warmer (or cooler for that matter) though does not require a cause/effect relationship with CO2.


In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor

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#12 2009-01-02 10:08 pm

jerwin
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

From Bao's 2008 paper:

It should be noted that the 12,000 p.p.m. pCO2 may be a snapshot of a dynamic transition of atmospheric conditions immediately after the deglaciation. The high pCO2 could be the consequence of two
causes, which are not mutually exclusive. First, the Neoproterozoic ‘snowball’ Earth hypothesis predicted a long-term build-up of volcanic CO2 in the atmosphere, up to 350 times the modern level, that finally offset the albedo effect and brought the Earth out of an otherwise perpetual snowball state. Therefore, the high pCO2 at the time of barite precipitation could be a relic of the high pCO2 during the ‘snowball’ Earth. A second cause could be a catastrophic release of methane hydrates just after a global deglaciation, which, on the
oxidation of methane, gave rise to a high pCO2 level.

Currently, pCO2 is about 384 ppm. Preindustrially, pCO2 was 260 --280 ppm.


Some subjects actually enjoy pain, and withhold information they might otherwise have divulged in order to be punished.
Central Intelligence Agency. (1983). Human Resource Exploitation Training Manual

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#13 2009-01-02 10:57 pm

ScifiterX
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

I saw a show on that snowball earth thing. When glaciation occurs CO2 isn't precipitated from the atmosphere which leads to it's build up.

ShnickyShnack wrote:

There was an ice age in the last 6,000 years?
confused

Just a little one. It ended a little over 150 years ago.

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#14 2009-01-02 11:31 pm

adndgamer
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From: Stevens Point, Wisconsin
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Posts: 4979
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

This certainly isn't the only evidence that global warming could lead to a positive cycle of global cooling.  The Snowball Earth theory proposes it as well.

Increased insolation or trapping of heat by greenhouse gases = higher evaporation (which we're seeing) = more precipitation AND higher amount of reflective water vapor in the air = more snowfall (and higher albedo) ... and repeat. More snow, more reflection and evaporation, more snow, repeat. Shut down the major ocean currents bringing warm water north to Europe and past N America from the Gulf... and once those are shut down, sit back and wait for the glaciers to march down.  I mean there's a lot more to it than that, but basically.

Eventually the CO2 constantly being emitted from volcanoes and other earth fissures will cause a mini global warming again, melting the ice and eventually bringing us back out of the ice age. 

Our entire civilization has emerged in the blink between two ice ages.


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#15 2009-01-03 12:10 am

jerwin
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

I think the simplest explanation is that the Telegraph writer pulled the conclusion out of his ass. I haven't read the original paper, but I have read a similar paper by Bao. I've also read the abstract of Bao's latest paper.

Science 2 January 2009:
Vol. 323. no. 5910, pp. 119 - 122
DOI: 10.1126/science.1165373

Stretching the Envelope of Past Surface Environments: Neoproterozoic Glacial Lakes from Svalbard
Huiming Bao,1* Ian J. Fairchild,2 Peter M. Wynn,3 Christoph Spötl4
The oxygen isotope composition of terrestrial sulfate is affected measurably by many Earth-surface processes. During the Neoproterozoic, severe "snowball" glaciations would have had an extreme impact on the biosphere and the atmosphere. Here, we report that sulfate extracted from carbonate lenses within a Neoproterozoic glacial diamictite suite from Svalbard, with an age of 635 million years ago, falls well outside the currently known natural range of triple oxygen isotope compositions and indicates that the atmosphere had either an exceptionally high atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration or an utterly unfamiliar oxygen cycle during deposition of the diamictites.

As for "the Gulf", "N America", and "Europe", those didn't exist.

http://www.scotese.com/images/650.jpg

On another note: I suspect that a certain proportion of global warming skeptics takes great solace in the fact that "we" survived the Permian extinction (251.4 Mya)

Last edited by jerwin (2009-01-03 12:11 am)


Some subjects actually enjoy pain, and withhold information they might otherwise have divulged in order to be punished.
Central Intelligence Agency. (1983). Human Resource Exploitation Training Manual

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#16 2009-01-03 12:15 am

bedstuy
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From: King Cole Bar, St. Regis Hotel
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

I can see Laurentia from Alaska!

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#17 2009-01-03 12:45 am

JakeTheTall
Cargo Cultist
From: In Permanent Opposition
Registered: 2003-03-13
Posts: 9612

Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

bedstuy wrote:

I can see Laurentia from Alaska!

You betcha !


Jesus said to the servants, "Fill the jars with water"; so they filled them to the brim.  Then he told them, "Now draw some out and take it to the master of the banquet."  They did so, and the master of the banquet tasted the water that had been turned into wine. He did not realize where it had come from, though the servants who had drawn the water knew.

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#18 2009-01-03 1:43 am

Chickenhawk
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

I can see Rodinia from here!

It certainly sounds like the author of the article jumped to conclusions that correlation implies causation. You could have incredibly high levels of CO2, and extremely low solar output, and still have an ice age.

Anyhow, one should not compare too much between the climate of now and of the Proterozoic. Things were so much different back then that climate forcings could have acted completely differently than they do now.


The recent medical controversy over whether vaccinations cause autism reveals a habit of human cognition—thinking anecdotally comes naturally, whereas thinking scientifically does not. -- Michael Shermer

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#19 2009-01-03 9:22 am

ScifiterX
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

Look! There's Florida!

Even if they don't work differently I agree that the author of the article jumped to conclusions that correlation implies causation. Especially when the likelihood of an ice age causing a CO2 spike because of a drop in global rainfall and other precipitation (which remove C02 from the air) is more scientifically plausible.

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#20 2009-01-03 5:45 pm

jerwin
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From: The Garden of Pure Ideology
Registered: 2003-01-01
Posts: 7062

Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

Dr Fairchild's page on his research is here.

Last edited by jerwin (2009-01-03 5:51 pm)


Some subjects actually enjoy pain, and withhold information they might otherwise have divulged in order to be punished.
Central Intelligence Agency. (1983). Human Resource Exploitation Training Manual

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#21 2009-01-03 6:27 pm

ScifiterX
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Re: Guess they have gotten about as much out of GW as they can ...

There are other pieces of evidence the would fit with Snowball Earth, like glacial boulders found in area supposedly found in locations that dated to periods where the location was in theory near the equator. I'd say it's a credible theory but I'm not sure whether or not it's completely accurate.

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