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#151 2009-07-07 9:06 pm

Chickenhawk
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From: Being Snarky
Registered: 2005-06-01
Posts: 5798

Re: "Carbongate!"

resedit wrote:

Of course they are soaking up less - it's getting warmer.

So you've changed your tune?


The recent medical controversy over whether vaccinations cause autism reveals a habit of human cognition—thinking anecdotally comes naturally, whereas thinking scientifically does not. -- Michael Shermer

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#152 2009-07-07 9:57 pm

Metacell
misanthropist
From: The space between the spaces
Registered: 2005-03-19
Posts: 5861
Website

Re: "Carbongate!"

resedit wrote:

I'm also waiting for any experiment to be mentioned that demonstrates a warming effect caused by CO2 emissions.

I don't expect any of you can offer one.

Are any of us climatologists?  On the other hand, CO-2 is absolutely known to pass visible light while absorbing infrared (thus holding heat).  Anyway:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_gas

When these gases are ranked by their contribution to the greenhouse effect, the most important are:[6]

    * water vapor, which contributes 36–72%
    * carbon dioxide, which contributes 9–26%
    * methane, which contributes 4–9%
    * ozone, which contributes 3–7%

It is not possible to state that a certain gas causes an exact percentage of the greenhouse effect. This is because some of the gases absorb and emit radiation at the same frequencies as others, so that the influences of the various gases are not additive. The higher ends of the ranges quoted are for the gas alone; the lower ends, for the gas accounting for overlaps.

The page links to the study this is based on.  Here is the abstract explaining how the data was gathered:

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society wrote:

The purpose of this paper is to put forward a new estimate, in the context of previous assessments, of the annual global mean energy budget. A description is provided of the source of each component to this budget. The top-of-atmosphere shortwave and longwave flux of energy is constrained by satellite observations. Partitioning of the radiative energy throughout the atmosphere is achieved through the use of detailed radiation models for both the longwave and shortwave spectral regions. Spectral features of shortwave and longwave fluxes at both the top and surface of the earth's system are presented. The longwave radiative forcing of the climate system for both clear (125 W m-2) and cloudy (155 W m-2) conditions are discussed. The authors find that for the clear sky case the contribution due to water vapor to the total longwave radiative forcing is 75 W m-2, while for carbon dioxide it is 32 W m-2. Clouds alter these values, and the effects of clouds on both the longwave and shortwave budget are addressed. In particular, the shielding effect by clouds on absorption and emission by water vapor is as large as the direct cloud forcing. Because the net surface heat budget must balance, the radiative fluxes constrain the sum of the sensible and latent heat fluxes, which can also be estimated independently.


Ho Eyo He Hum

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#153 2009-07-07 10:20 pm

Metacell
misanthropist
From: The space between the spaces
Registered: 2005-03-19
Posts: 5861
Website

Re: "Carbongate!"

resedit wrote:

Of course they are soaking up less - it's getting warmer.

Also....warmer waters are more absorbent too...molecules move more freely in either direction.

EDIT: In other words, if our air was sufficiently dense with CO2, opening your lovely warm 7-UP would cause MORE CO2 to enter it.

Last edited by Metacell (2009-07-07 10:23 pm)


Ho Eyo He Hum

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#154 2009-07-07 10:37 pm

bratboy
laden with emotion
Royal Wombat
From: Austin, Texas
Registered: 2003-01-19
Posts: 34106

Re: "Carbongate!"

resedit wrote:

bratboy wrote:

Even I can tell that this isn't relevant.  It's always puzzled me why those who reject the consensus go on and on about prior temperatures, as if that fact isn't terribly basic knowledge of those who study climate.

Why isn't it relevant?

The fact that the earth might have been warmer at some point has no bearing upon whether global warming is legitimate.


"One thing we've learned is there's a difference between being disappointed and having madmen in authority."

                                                                   --Paul Krugman

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#155 2009-07-08 12:04 am

JakeTheTall
Cargo Cultist
From: In Permanent Opposition
Registered: 2003-03-13
Posts: 9589

Re: "Carbongate!"

resedit wrote:

Chickenhawk wrote:

That chart is bogus.
From wikipedia:
preindustrial CO2: 280 ppm
delta CO2 since 1750: 107 ppm
total CO2: 387 ppm

That works out that current CO2 levels are 28% man-made.

I'm surprised - as a scientist, you should know better than to assume that natural CO2 levels are static.
They never have been in history before man. Therefore, your method of calculation is seriously flawed.

Natural CO2 will be higher during warmer periods. Thus the actual level of man made CO2 must be less than 28% - and probably significantly so, because it was a warming period that started the man into the industrial age, so your pre-industrial figure is from when the planet was cooler and thus the oceans were releasing less CO2.

delta and you say static ?

Troll.


Jesus said to the servants, "Fill the jars with water"; so they filled them to the brim.  Then he told them, "Now draw some out and take it to the master of the banquet."  They did so, and the master of the banquet tasted the water that had been turned into wine. He did not realize where it had come from, though the servants who had drawn the water knew.

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#156 2009-07-08 12:31 am

ShnickyShnack
::: title edited due to Satanic influences :::
From: Rockin' out
Registered: 2001-05-25
Posts: 22237

Re: "Carbongate!"

I've been facepalming so much in this thread I think I've got a permanent bruise on my forehead.


Note: please delete this post.

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#157 2009-07-08 1:45 am

resedit
Chicken Little
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From: /dev/null
Registered: 1999-11-01
Posts: 50368
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Re: "Carbongate!"

bratboy wrote:

resedit wrote:

bratboy wrote:

Even I can tell that this isn't relevant.  It's always puzzled me why those who reject the consensus go on and on about prior temperatures, as if that fact isn't terribly basic knowledge of those who study climate.

Why isn't it relevant?

The fact that the earth might have been warmer at some point has no bearing upon whether global warming is legitimate.

It does indicate it isn't the ecological doom and gloom that is being fear mongered.
However, issues like the mass extinction of amphibians that may be well under way do have devastating implications. But those who claim to be so worried about the planet that they want to carbon tax corporations up the wazoo don't seem to give a rats ass - hence the very clear picture that all this global warming hysteria is really just a political game.


In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor

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#158 2009-07-08 4:58 am

Metacell
misanthropist
From: The space between the spaces
Registered: 2005-03-19
Posts: 5861
Website

Re: "Carbongate!"

resedit wrote:

It does indicate it isn't the ecological doom and gloom that is being fear mongered.

Ever heard of the Precambrian Extinction?


Ho Eyo He Hum

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#159 2009-07-08 7:41 am

bratboy
laden with emotion
Royal Wombat
From: Austin, Texas
Registered: 2003-01-19
Posts: 34106

Re: "Carbongate!"

resedit wrote:

It does indicate it isn't the ecological doom and gloom that is being fear mongered.
However, issues like the mass extinction of amphibians that may be well under way do have devastating implications. But those who claim to be so worried about the planet that they want to carbon tax corporations up the wazoo don't seem to give a rats ass - hence the very clear picture that all this global warming hysteria is really just a political game.

You (and other GW deniers around here) have a difficulty separating science from policy.  I don't know what the best course of action would be (though I'd imagine reducing emissions is a good start). 

There are lots of important issues out there that don't get nearly enough money or attention--the plight of your amphibians isn't unique.  That fact alone does not demonstrate that more high profile issues are bullsmurf.


"One thing we've learned is there's a difference between being disappointed and having madmen in authority."

                                                                   --Paul Krugman

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#160 2009-07-08 8:03 am

Mustapha Mond
Up your alley
Registered: 2001-03-24
Posts: 7026
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Re: "Carbongate!"

ShnickyShnack wrote:

I've been facepalming so much in this thread I think I've got a permanent bruise on my forehead.

That happened to a friend of mine in middle school. He had this big bruise on his forehead, but he couldn't get out of the habit of face-palming himself, and it got to the point where he would yelp in pain every time he did it. We laughed at him a lot after that.

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#161 2009-07-08 11:10 am

sturner
Royal High Poobah
Moderator
From: Carrollton, TX USA
Registered: 2000-01-31
Posts: 13767

Re: "Carbongate!"

Chickenhawk wrote:

resedit wrote:

Are you aware that we have had significant cooling at the same time that we have had significant CO2 output?
Post WWII saw an industrial boom as the world rebuilt, yet the earth cooled for decades.

How do you reconcile that?

large levels of particulate matter aerosolized in the upper atmosphere from actions in WWII.

Didn't I say the same thing? hmm


I'm not dead yet.
There are 3 types of people, those who can count and those who can't.
"There are few things graven in stone, excepting your date of death."

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#162 2009-07-08 11:14 am

sturner
Royal High Poobah
Moderator
From: Carrollton, TX USA
Registered: 2000-01-31
Posts: 13767

Re: "Carbongate!"

Tallgeese wrote:

Wait... are they soaking up or outgassing?

You mean ocean farts?

big_smile


I'm not dead yet.
There are 3 types of people, those who can count and those who can't.
"There are few things graven in stone, excepting your date of death."

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#163 2009-07-08 11:16 am

sturner
Royal High Poobah
Moderator
From: Carrollton, TX USA
Registered: 2000-01-31
Posts: 13767

Re: "Carbongate!"

ShnickyShnack wrote:

I've been facepalming so much in this thread I think I've got a permanent bruise on my forehead.

Just for my informaiton, does you forehead also slope backwards now?lol


I'm not dead yet.
There are 3 types of people, those who can count and those who can't.
"There are few things graven in stone, excepting your date of death."

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#164 2009-07-08 11:22 am

ShnickyShnack
::: title edited due to Satanic influences :::
From: Rockin' out
Registered: 2001-05-25
Posts: 22237

Re: "Carbongate!"

I think it's worth noting the very important difference between scientific findings and media hype. They are most assuredly not the same thing. The media hype can be dismissed. And personally I think it's that hype that's got the doubters so upset anyway.


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#165 2009-07-08 11:31 am

Chickenhawk
Snark Snark Snark Snark
From: Being Snarky
Registered: 2005-06-01
Posts: 5798

Re: "Carbongate!"

sturner wrote:

Chickenhawk wrote:

resedit wrote:

Are you aware that we have had significant cooling at the same time that we have had significant CO2 output?
Post WWII saw an industrial boom as the world rebuilt, yet the earth cooled for decades.

How do you reconcile that?

large levels of particulate matter aerosolized in the upper atmosphere from actions in WWII.

Didn't I say the same thing? hmm

Yes, but resedit obviously did not read your post.


The recent medical controversy over whether vaccinations cause autism reveals a habit of human cognition—thinking anecdotally comes naturally, whereas thinking scientifically does not. -- Michael Shermer

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#166 2009-07-08 11:32 am

sturner
Royal High Poobah
Moderator
From: Carrollton, TX USA
Registered: 2000-01-31
Posts: 13767

Re: "Carbongate!"

And you used fewer words.


I'm not dead yet.
There are 3 types of people, those who can count and those who can't.
"There are few things graven in stone, excepting your date of death."

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#167 2009-07-08 11:36 am

Chickenhawk
Snark Snark Snark Snark
From: Being Snarky
Registered: 2005-06-01
Posts: 5798

Re: "Carbongate!"

ShnickyShnack wrote:

I think it's worth noting the very important difference between scientific findings and media hype. They are most assuredly not the same thing. The media hype can be dismissed. And personally I think it's that hype that's got the doubters so upset anyway.

Yes. Most importantly, scientific literature and proceedings are not fickle like the media are. As a group, scientists are rather slow at adopting new ideas, which is a strength of science. You slowly and carefully approach a topic, instead of brashly saying something is so. That way, when a majority of scientists agree on something, it stands a damn good chance of being true.


The recent medical controversy over whether vaccinations cause autism reveals a habit of human cognition—thinking anecdotally comes naturally, whereas thinking scientifically does not. -- Michael Shermer

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#168 2009-07-08 1:12 pm

ShnickyShnack
::: title edited due to Satanic influences :::
From: Rockin' out
Registered: 2001-05-25
Posts: 22237

Re: "Carbongate!"

Chickenhawk wrote:

ShnickyShnack wrote:

I think it's worth noting the very important difference between scientific findings and media hype. They are most assuredly not the same thing. The media hype can be dismissed. And personally I think it's that hype that's got the doubters so upset anyway.

Yes. Most importantly, scientific literature and proceedings are not fickle like the media are. As a group, scientists are rather slow at adopting new ideas, which is a strength of science. You slowly and carefully approach a topic, instead of brashly saying something is so. That way, when a majority of scientists agree on something, it stands a damn good chance of being true.

Exactly. The media is interested in a story. In drama. In conflict. Which, incidentally, is why the GW skeptics seem so much influential than their scientific legitimacy would seem to indicate -- because of the conflict, which makes for a great story.


Note: please delete this post.

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#169 2009-07-08 1:14 pm

spike
The trimillennial lash-bat
Registered: 2004-08-15
Posts: 660

Re: "Carbongate!"

resedit wrote:

bratboy wrote:

resedit wrote:


Why isn't it relevant?

The fact that the earth might have been warmer at some point has no bearing upon whether global warming is legitimate.

It does indicate it isn't the ecological doom and gloom that is being fear mongered.
However, issues like the mass extinction of amphibians that may be well under way do have devastating implications. But those who claim to be so worried about the planet that they want to carbon tax corporations up the wazoo don't seem to give a rats ass - hence the very clear picture that all this global warming hysteria is really just a political game.

I'd just like to point out that just because a politician is seeking to capitalize off something doesn't mean its not a real issue.


I've always wanted to have a suitcase handcuffed to my wrist.

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#170 2009-07-08 2:46 pm

sturner
Royal High Poobah
Moderator
From: Carrollton, TX USA
Registered: 2000-01-31
Posts: 13767

Re: "Carbongate!"

Hush, spike. You are only casting light upon a dark subject. No one appreciates clarity in an arguement.


I'm not dead yet.
There are 3 types of people, those who can count and those who can't.
"There are few things graven in stone, excepting your date of death."

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#171 2009-07-08 3:01 pm

Bat
Flawless Cowboy
Royal Wombat
From: Björk, Björk
Registered: 2001-05-14
Posts: 28541

Re: "Carbongate!"

sturner wrote:

Hush, spike. You are only casting light upon a dark subject. No one appreciates clarity in an arguement.

Right, no light- we want heat!

(...waitaminnit...hmm)  Anyway,

G-8 agrees to cap on global temperatures
But developing nations refuse to commit to greenhouse gas targets

L'AQUILA, Italy (AP) - The Group of Eight industrialized nations joined with developing countries in agreeing Wednesday that average global temperatures shouldn't increase by more than 2 degrees Celsius in a significant new acknowledgement in the fight against global warming.

The United States and other G-8 leaders also said they supported a goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 80 percent or more by 2050. But they made no nearer-term reduction targets and 17 developing nations participating in the G-8 summit refused to commit to any targets at all, disappointing environmentalists.

Climate-change experts nevertheless said the acknowlegment on the 2-degree temperature cap from both the G-8 and a 17-member group of developing nations was an important step since it now implies that countries actually have to do something to prevent temperatures from increasing.

Well, what the hey- didn't Bush already commit us to stop increasing our greenhouse gas output by 2020?

Let the conniptions begin.


If all economists were laid end to end, they would not reach a conclusion - George Bernard Shaw

"Fire up a colortini, sit back, relax, and watch the pictures, now, as they fly through the air."

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