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#126 2009-10-20 8:58 pm

sturner
Royal High Poobah
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From: Carrollton, TX USA
Registered: 2000-01-31
Posts: 13795

Re: As we expected, morale low in Afghanistan

The right tool for the right job at the right time.

Can't argue with success.


I'm not dead yet.
There are 3 types of people, those who can count and those who can't.
"There are few things graven in stone, excepting your date of death."

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#127 2009-10-21 5:44 am

Bat
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From: Björk, Björk
Registered: 2001-05-14
Posts: 28541

Re: As we expected, morale low in Afghanistan

Or, sometimes, failure.

Ribtorus wrote:

sturner wrote:

Yes, he did. However, he made up for it to some degree for his presence as the Commander for the Phantom Army before D-Day. And for his conduct of the 3rd Army from Normandy through the Battle of the Bulge.

That's a tribute to Ike's managerial genius, not really to Patton.

What should've been Monty's fate, then?

Market Garden. Win the war in a week, except...

A little less warring between generals, and the Falaise Pocket might have snapped completely shut. Victory in '44 after all, perhaps, before that debacle.


If all economists were laid end to end, they would not reach a conclusion - George Bernard Shaw

"Fire up a colortini, sit back, relax, and watch the pictures, now, as they fly through the air."

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#128 2009-10-21 6:11 am

Ribtorus
Member
Registered: 2002-07-11
Posts: 13749

Re: As we expected, morale low in Afghanistan

Montgomery demonstrated an almost complete incompetence in '44. His best days were in North Africa and he should have been retired to a desk after that. The Brits (Churchill) could have put forward any number of better (less ego-driven) generals to carry their load in '44.  But politics carried the day.

Market Garden is not actually an example of his incompetent generalship at that time. Its failure was one of execution of the plan, not the plan itself. His real failure was in not fully supporting the important, yet seemingly plodding and unexciting work of clearing the ports leading North to the frontier. He wasn't interested in the real work.


when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...

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#129 2009-10-21 6:22 am

Bat
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From: Björk, Björk
Registered: 2001-05-14
Posts: 28541

Re: As we expected, morale low in Afghanistan

Attempting something of that type, untried on that scale, in the time allowed to pull it together, with the inadequate resources likewise wasn't bad generalship? How could it have been other than a failure?

Intel failures compounded it. British armor fighting up single lane forest tracks vs. the 10th SS Panzer's Tiger IIs was futility and waste embodied. I've seen the pictures.


If all economists were laid end to end, they would not reach a conclusion - George Bernard Shaw

"Fire up a colortini, sit back, relax, and watch the pictures, now, as they fly through the air."

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#130 2009-10-21 6:50 am

Ribtorus
Member
Registered: 2002-07-11
Posts: 13749

Re: As we expected, morale low in Afghanistan

I didn't say it was a good plan, but it itself is not an example of incompetence, it's an example of failure. Not the same thing.


when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...

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#131 2009-10-21 6:59 am

Bat
Flawless Cowboy
Royal Wombat
From: Björk, Björk
Registered: 2001-05-14
Posts: 28541

Re: As we expected, morale low in Afghanistan

Ribtorus wrote:

I didn't say it was a good plan, but it itself is not an example of incompetence, it's an example of failure. Not the same thing.

I realize that. But it's difficult to consider these things, many of which were evident to others, and see it as anything short of incompetence. Monty let ego, ambition and uncharacteristic optimism carry him away when to that point he'd been overly careful, reportedly mindful of his troops. Even discounting the unpredictable like the reserves mentioned, he should've seen it couldn't have been done with what was available in the short time available to marshall it.

Take away a few of those, it's inspired. With them, it was a disaster, and predictably so.


If all economists were laid end to end, they would not reach a conclusion - George Bernard Shaw

"Fire up a colortini, sit back, relax, and watch the pictures, now, as they fly through the air."

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#132 2009-10-21 8:45 am

Ribtorus
Member
Registered: 2002-07-11
Posts: 13749

Re: As we expected, morale low in Afghanistan

The plan was reviewed and passed by his colleagues, including of course, his supreme commander. There was input and revisions from others. Again, this is not an example of incompetence, unless that term is going to get a much broader meaning.


when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...

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#133 2009-10-21 10:02 am

JakeTheTall
Cargo Cultist
From: In Permanent Opposition
Registered: 2003-03-13
Posts: 9612

Re: As we expected, morale low in Afghanistan

Ribtorus wrote:

Montgomery demonstrated an almost complete incompetence in '44. His best days were in North Africa and he should have been retired to a desk after that. The Brits (Churchill) could have put forward any number of better (less ego-driven) generals to carry their load in '44.  But politics carried the day.

Market Garden is not actually an example of his incompetent generalship at that time. Its failure was one of execution of the plan, not the plan itself. His real failure was in not fully supporting the important, yet seemingly plodding and unexciting work of clearing the ports leading North to the frontier. He wasn't interested in the real work.

I've read that military people well-versed with that particular terrain knew a plan like Market Garden was very unlikely to work.  As in, Dutch military thinkers.


Jesus said to the servants, "Fill the jars with water"; so they filled them to the brim.  Then he told them, "Now draw some out and take it to the master of the banquet."  They did so, and the master of the banquet tasted the water that had been turned into wine. He did not realize where it had come from, though the servants who had drawn the water knew.

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#134 2009-10-21 6:50 pm

Bat
Flawless Cowboy
Royal Wombat
From: Björk, Björk
Registered: 2001-05-14
Posts: 28541

Re: As we expected, morale low in Afghanistan

Ribtorus wrote:

The plan was reviewed and passed by his colleagues, including of course, his supreme commander. There was input and revisions from others. Again, this is not an example of incompetence, unless that term is going to get a much broader meaning.

Ike had to do a lot of political juggling to keep the Allies as a whole happy- put it under the rubric of skills you reffed earlier. A substantial amount went against his better military judgement. Hitler thought he might well split the Allies with his Ardennes gamble, negotiate a separate peace with one or more, then turn back Eastwards. Patton slowed largely thru lack of fuel and spares, but the V-weapon sites on the Channel needed clearing. After Arnhem we got back to slogging thru the Hurtgen Forest and up the coast to Antwerp.

He was right; the Siegried Line, which we'd built special weapons to breach, was a shell by late Summer '44, weapons and men stripped out. The dragon's teeth were mostly knocked down by simple 75mm HE from Shermans. The breathing spell they got, with Speer's efforts and Germany's pooling its last manpower reserves- skilled factory workers included- made it an obstacle again later in the year.


If all economists were laid end to end, they would not reach a conclusion - George Bernard Shaw

"Fire up a colortini, sit back, relax, and watch the pictures, now, as they fly through the air."

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#135 2009-10-21 7:07 pm

Bat
Flawless Cowboy
Royal Wombat
From: Björk, Björk
Registered: 2001-05-14
Posts: 28541

Re: As we expected, morale low in Afghanistan

If you like, we can chalk it up to temporary insanity or 'irrational exuberance' after a period of success. He wasn't generally that bad, more by '44 a prima donna- but one who allowed it all to go to his head on a grand scale. "Temporary incompetence?"

I think we're nearly on the same page, but I'm perhaps less willing to judge this a reasonable plan with good prospects of success.


If all economists were laid end to end, they would not reach a conclusion - George Bernard Shaw

"Fire up a colortini, sit back, relax, and watch the pictures, now, as they fly through the air."

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