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#1 2009-10-15 5:11 pm

Bat
Flawless Cowboy
Royal Wombat
From: Björk, Björk
Registered: 2001-05-14
Posts: 28541

No SocSec COLA next year

A small stipend is in the works, tho. They really need a better way to calculate the COLA than the single-figure inflation rate. A monkey with an abacus could do better, and likely do better reforming the whole busted system too.

WASHINGTON (AP) - There will be no cost-of-living increase for more than 50 million Social Security recipients next year, the first year without a raise since automatic adjustments were adopted in 1975.

Blame falling consumer prices. By law, cost-of-living adjustments are pegged to inflation, which is negative this year because of lower energy costs. Social Security payments, however, do not go down even when prices drop.

The Obama administration, meanwhile, is pursuing a different way to boost recipients’ income. On Wednesday, President Barack Obama called for a second round of $250 stimulus payments for seniors, veterans, retired railroad workers and people with disabilities.

The payments would match the ones issued to seniors earlier this year as part of the government’s economic recovery package. The payments would be equal to about a 2 percent increase for the average Social Security recipient.

The White House put the cost of the payments at $13 billion. Obama didn’t say how the payments should be financed, leaving that up to Congress. The president is open to borrowing the money, which would increase the federal budget deficit, just like Congress did with the first round of stimulus payments.

Social Security payments increased by 5.8 percent in January, the largest bump up since 1982. The big increase was largely because of a spike in energy costs in 2008.

“Social Security is doing its job helping Americans maintain their standard of living,” said Social Security Commissioner Michael J. Astrue.

But, he added, “In light of the human need, we need to support President Obama’s call for us to make another $250 recovery payment for 57 million Americans.”

Social Security makes it official: Ju No Kan Haz COLA (Shut Up)


If all economists were laid end to end, they would not reach a conclusion - George Bernard Shaw

"Fire up a colortini, sit back, relax, and watch the pictures, now, as they fly through the air."

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#2 2009-10-15 5:15 pm

ShnickyShnack
::: title edited due to Satanic influences :::
From: Rockin' out
Registered: 2001-05-25
Posts: 22237

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

It's only going to get worse, of course.


Note: please delete this post.

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#3 2009-10-15 5:17 pm

Daddyo
hoochie coochie man
From: the last juke joint
Registered: 2004-01-24
Posts: 1881

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

No Cola next year, too bad, I suppose I will have to drink Mt. Dew instead.


A million seconds is 12 days.
A billion seconds is 31 years.
A trillion seconds is 31,688 years.
Hope and change could be forever.

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#4 2009-10-15 5:25 pm

radarman
Member
Registered: 2005-02-28
Posts: 3617

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

Switch to tea. Easier on the stomach, and it doesn't leach calcium out of your bones.

As for Obama's stipend idea, I guess he figures a few more billion in debt won't be noticed. I wonder how China feels about helping out US seniors.

Someone needs to take a cluebat to DC, and start knocking heads. We can't afford to keep borrowing, even for stuff like this.

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#5 2009-10-15 5:26 pm

JakeTheTall
Cargo Cultist
From: In Permanent Opposition
Registered: 2003-03-13
Posts: 9611

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

Deflation scares me.


Jesus said to the servants, "Fill the jars with water"; so they filled them to the brim.  Then he told them, "Now draw some out and take it to the master of the banquet."  They did so, and the master of the banquet tasted the water that had been turned into wine. He did not realize where it had come from, though the servants who had drawn the water knew.

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#6 2009-10-15 5:28 pm

ShnickyShnack
::: title edited due to Satanic influences :::
From: Rockin' out
Registered: 2001-05-25
Posts: 22237

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

No one is funny like conservatives are funny.


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#7 2009-10-15 5:33 pm

Pariah
James Carville Fan..
From: Belly Of The Beast, Oklahoma!
Registered: 2001-05-24
Posts: 18402

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

smurf, watch the Republicans blaming the Dems for "Cutting SS" during next years campaigns.

The dems will respond by passing an ill conceived temporary increase in SS payments.

The Republicans will complain the plan costs too much and will kill grandma.


"and it's not surprising that they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations."
Barack Obama

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#8 2009-10-15 5:53 pm

Farmerkev
Official Dementor
Moderator
Registered: 2003-01-03
Posts: 18619

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

Pariah wrote:

smurf, watch the Republicans blaming the Dems for "Cutting SS" during next years campaigns.

The dems will respond by passing an ill conceived temporary increase in SS payments.

The Republicans will complain the plan costs too much and will kill grandma.

Would you expect any less if the shoe was on the other foot?


Do your part to combat global warming.
Eat a cow.

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#9 2009-10-15 5:58 pm

robco
Curmudgeon
From: Sodom
Registered: 2004-12-04
Posts: 7942
Website

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

Well lots of abled and young are seeing paychecks stay stagnant or decline - or disappear completely.


It is an odd thing, but every one who disappears is said to be seen at San Francisco. It must be a delightful city, and possess all the attractions of the next world.
- Oscar Wilde

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#10 2009-10-15 6:05 pm

Pariah
James Carville Fan..
From: Belly Of The Beast, Oklahoma!
Registered: 2001-05-24
Posts: 18402

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

Farmerkev wrote:

Pariah wrote:

smurf, watch the Republicans blaming the Dems for "Cutting SS" during next years campaigns.

The dems will respond by passing an ill conceived temporary increase in SS payments.

The Republicans will complain the plan costs too much and will kill grandma.

Would you expect any less if the shoe was on the other foot?

Nope.
An actual prediction:
The issue will come up and after barbs are exchanged 17 different "bi-partisan" committees will go to work negotiating a bill.
Aggravation ensues.
There will be a bill of some sort  giving extra money for SS and both sides will blame the other for the bill being smurfy.
Business as usual shrug


"and it's not surprising that they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations."
Barack Obama

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#11 2009-10-15 6:11 pm

Bat
Flawless Cowboy
Royal Wombat
From: Björk, Björk
Registered: 2001-05-14
Posts: 28541

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

robco wrote:

Well lots of abled and young are seeing paychecks stay stagnant or decline

Maybe they can wait another month for their PS3s or Beatles boxed sets.

- or disappear completely.

Unemployment checks and extensions. Most'll still be better off.


If all economists were laid end to end, they would not reach a conclusion - George Bernard Shaw

"Fire up a colortini, sit back, relax, and watch the pictures, now, as they fly through the air."

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#12 2009-10-15 6:16 pm

robco
Curmudgeon
From: Sodom
Registered: 2004-12-04
Posts: 7942
Website

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

The point being that in a down economy, everyone is taking a hit - unless you got a huge government bailout and are now raking in loads of money and passing out huge bonuses. I wouldn't expect an increase every year whether inflation goes up or not. Again, a lot of working people don't get guaranteed raises every year. Nor do all working people have excess wads of cash to throw away on PS3s and Beatles boxed sets, or have you missed out on all the people losing their homes? Unemployment isn't living high on the hog either, for those who don't have additional savings to supplement UI, making ends meet is rather difficult.


It is an odd thing, but every one who disappears is said to be seen at San Francisco. It must be a delightful city, and possess all the attractions of the next world.
- Oscar Wilde

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#13 2009-10-15 6:38 pm

DevoDoc
Vardøger
From: The East Wing
Registered: 2003-05-27
Posts: 2711

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

What we really need is a Social Security Czar to fix this mess.


We also know how cruel the truth often is, and we wonder whether delusion is not more consoling. - Henri Poincaré
http://www.cdc.gov/images/campaigns/SwineFlu/stayhome_130x73.jpg

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#14 2009-10-15 6:39 pm

resedit
Chicken Little
Royal Wombat
From: /dev/null
Registered: 1999-11-01
Posts: 50394
Website

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

Given that social security is no longer solvent (paying out more than they take in) this is expected.

It won't be long and people will be demanding the Bush plan - where you have some say in how the money you earned is invested.


In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor

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#15 2009-10-15 6:45 pm

mo' ron
PS3 4 EVA
From: NC, USA
Registered: 2002-10-15
Posts: 14246

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

JakeTheTall wrote:

Deflation scares me.

Why?

Isn’t this better for the ordinary person?


What is the difference between Vista and OSX?
- Microsoft employees are excited about OSX.

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#16 2009-10-15 6:50 pm

Tallgeese
Sternly Advising
From: Pool Party
Registered: 2000-10-17
Posts: 34086

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

resedit wrote:

Given that social security is no longer solvent (paying out more than they take in) this is expected.

It won't be long and people will be demanding the Bush plan - where you have some say in how the money you earned is invested.

I'm sure that recent stock market activity will make that idea very popular.


I still believe in liberalism today as much as I ever did, but, oh, there was a happy time when I believed in liberals.

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#17 2009-10-15 6:58 pm

ShnickyShnack
::: title edited due to Satanic influences :::
From: Rockin' out
Registered: 2001-05-25
Posts: 22237

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

mo' ron wrote:

JakeTheTall wrote:

Deflation scares me.

Why?

Isn’t this better for the ordinary person?

No.

It increases debt, for one thing -- personal, corporate and government.

Can you imagine what that would mean in America?


Note: please delete this post.

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#18 2009-10-15 7:27 pm

resedit
Chicken Little
Royal Wombat
From: /dev/null
Registered: 1999-11-01
Posts: 50394
Website

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

Tallgeese wrote:

resedit wrote:

Given that social security is no longer solvent (paying out more than they take in) this is expected.

It won't be long and people will be demanding the Bush plan - where you have some say in how the money you earned is invested.

I'm sure that recent stock market activity will make that idea very popular.

Yeah - it's amazing how fast a really good day can make people forget the bad days.


In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor

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#19 2009-10-15 7:32 pm

Pariah
James Carville Fan..
From: Belly Of The Beast, Oklahoma!
Registered: 2001-05-24
Posts: 18402

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

Tallgeese wrote:

resedit wrote:

Given that social security is no longer solvent (paying out more than they take in) this is expected.

It won't be long and people will be demanding the Bush plan - where you have some say in how the money you earned is invested.

I'm sure that recent stock market activity will make that idea very popular.

That's a fact.
You won't be hearing anything about privatizing even part of SS anytime soon. My mom lost almost half of he savings last year. Same thing to millions of other retirees.
Privatizing SS in any way, shape or fashion is a dead idea until the current generation of seniors has passed.


"and it's not surprising that they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations."
Barack Obama

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#20 2009-10-15 8:20 pm

JakeTheTall
Cargo Cultist
From: In Permanent Opposition
Registered: 2003-03-13
Posts: 9611

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

mo' ron wrote:

JakeTheTall wrote:

Deflation scares me.

Why?

Isn’t this better for the ordinary person?

As stated, debt becomes a greater burden.  There's also a strong affect on demand: it depresses it.  If goods will be cheaper next week, why buy today ?  And firms won't like borrowing, the actual cost of the loan is greater as deflation continues.  Overall uncertainty and such.

Conventional economic thought is that inflation at say 2% ( +/- 0.5 ) is about what is the best that can be achieved.


Jesus said to the servants, "Fill the jars with water"; so they filled them to the brim.  Then he told them, "Now draw some out and take it to the master of the banquet."  They did so, and the master of the banquet tasted the water that had been turned into wine. He did not realize where it had come from, though the servants who had drawn the water knew.

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#21 2009-10-15 9:53 pm

resedit
Chicken Little
Royal Wombat
From: /dev/null
Registered: 1999-11-01
Posts: 50394
Website

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

Pariah wrote:

Tallgeese wrote:

resedit wrote:

Given that social security is no longer solvent (paying out more than they take in) this is expected.

It won't be long and people will be demanding the Bush plan - where you have some say in how the money you earned is invested.

I'm sure that recent stock market activity will make that idea very popular.

That's a fact.
You won't be hearing anything about privatizing even part of SS anytime soon. My mom lost almost half of he savings last year. Same thing to millions of other retirees.
Privatizing SS in any way, shape or fashion is a dead idea until the current generation of seniors has passed.

It's not the current generation of seniors that will pass it.
It's the current generation of 30 somethings that will pass it.


In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor

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#22 2009-10-15 9:59 pm

robco
Curmudgeon
From: Sodom
Registered: 2004-12-04
Posts: 7942
Website

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

Given that many of us 30-somethings have just seen our private retirement accounts slashed, I'm not sure we'll be anxious to privatize So-So Security either. Putting my money into the hands of private investment managers should be my choice, not something that's forced. SS's returns may be low, but the investments are much more secure.

If there is privatization, there needs to be very stringent regulation placed on those accounts.


It is an odd thing, but every one who disappears is said to be seen at San Francisco. It must be a delightful city, and possess all the attractions of the next world.
- Oscar Wilde

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#23 2009-10-15 10:13 pm

bedstuy
Archimandrite, Eastern Elite
From: King Cole Bar, St. Regis Hotel
Registered: 2003-09-20
Posts: 13623

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

10,062.94

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#24 2009-10-15 10:13 pm

Jokotai
Random Data Wrangler
From: Spartanburg SC
Registered: 2009-08-18
Posts: 508
Website

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

As another 30-something, I'm confident of two things:

a) Privatizing Social Security is a bad idea.
b) Based on the financial conditions of the past ten years or so, I cannot depend on Social Security to provide me any sort of reliability when I reach retirement age.

I also know that I cannot "opt out" of it.  To me, it's just taxes that I'll never see again.  My three surviving grandparents, though, depend somewhat on their Social Security checks, so I don't mind so much paying into a system that I'm not confident in.


There's what you love to do, and then there's what you get paid to do.  Those two things are often different.

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#25 2009-10-16 12:28 am

Bat
Flawless Cowboy
Royal Wombat
From: Björk, Björk
Registered: 2001-05-14
Posts: 28541

Re: No SocSec COLA next year

robco wrote:

The point being that in a down economy, everyone is taking a hit - unless you got a huge government bailout and are now raking in loads of money and passing out huge bonuses. I wouldn't expect an increase every year whether inflation goes up or not.

Not, but IIRC you and your BF bring in a whole lot more than my measly SSI + food stamps, likely an order of magnitude greater. Sci gets rather more than I, and he can tell you how little his is- and he has family to share costs with. Mine all died, I'm alone and likely to remain so.

Nearly 20 years ago, when Robert Krulwich was still with CBS and did economics pieces, he did one pointing out how much faster common, everyday items rose than the big-ticket items that dominate single-metric numbers like inflation indexes. I'm not in the market for any such, so increases in the lesser things hit me harder, especially with so small a base and margin to begin with. Heaven help me if anything substantial hits like my '79 auto failing or even needing much work.

Again, a lot of working people don't get guaranteed raises every year. Nor do all working people have excess wads of cash to throw away on PS3s and Beatles boxed sets

Someone was talking about doing so just recently, tho not the Beatles stuff. I thought you'd catch that reference.

, or have you missed out on all the people losing their homes? Unemployment isn't living high on the hog either, for those who don't have additional savings to supplement UI, making ends meet is rather difficult.

I'm quite aware; the house to the North has been vacant since February- the folks just up and, I'm told, moved out of state. I'm not saying unemployment makes you rich or even lets you go on CD-sprees, just that it's a deal more than I get or have much prospect of getting for the foreseeable. Even if good treatments become available for my illness over time, I have to make it that far and they'll need paying for in any case. If I miraculously became well tomorrow, I'd still be faced with trying to begin a career, or simple job, in my 50s and the present conditions. Employers don't count those as pluses.

So yes, I look forward to anything I might get, am worse off than most, and there's substantial more I'm keeping private that are even less favorable.


If all economists were laid end to end, they would not reach a conclusion - George Bernard Shaw

"Fire up a colortini, sit back, relax, and watch the pictures, now, as they fly through the air."

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