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#51 2009-10-20 6:56 am
- Farmerkev
- Official Dementor
- Moderator
- Registered: 2003-01-03
- Posts: 18609
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
Ribtorus wrote:
But don't we in the west depend on a successful China?
I would have said peaceful, successful, ehhh.
Do your part to combat global warming.
Eat a cow.
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#52 2009-10-20 9:25 am
- radarman
- Member
- Registered: 2005-02-28
- Posts: 3584
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
Ribtorus wrote:
kudos to Adrienne Mong, then.
So if Afghanistan is "lost" to the Afghans-we-don't-like-at-the-moment, then whoever can foster actual investment will "win". A resource hungry China is all over the map and A'stan is just one nation on their list of investments.
But don't we in the west depend on a successful China?
Actually, I think we should promote policies more like the Chinese. Forget the moralizing crap, and just encourage the most stable environment possible. Then invest in the nation to gain better access to natural resources or labor. China is going to change the face of Africa, and potentially Afghanistan, far more effectively than we will, and they will come out of it with access to oil, copper, gold, and other natural resources we will end up having to buy from them.
We, on the other hand, are going to spend a crapload of money and lives, get squat in return, and end up poorer for the effort. Worse, we will probably end up making the situation for the average person in these regions worse for the wear, not better.
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#53 2009-10-20 9:34 am
- bedstuy
- Archimandrite, Eastern Elite

- From: King Cole Bar, St. Regis Hotel
- Registered: 2003-09-20
- Posts: 13620
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
Ribtorus wrote:
But don't we in the west depend on a successful China?
I often wonder.
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#54 2009-10-20 9:59 am
- Ribtorus
- Member

- Registered: 2002-07-11
- Posts: 13735
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
Refer to the trade deficit and all those overseas dollars as "investment"; you'll feel better.
Just hope it doesn't come flooding back to your treasury.
when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...
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#55 2009-10-20 10:00 am
- Ribtorus
- Member

- Registered: 2002-07-11
- Posts: 13735
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
radarman wrote:
Ribtorus wrote:
kudos to Adrienne Mong, then.
So if Afghanistan is "lost" to the Afghans-we-don't-like-at-the-moment, then whoever can foster actual investment will "win". A resource hungry China is all over the map and A'stan is just one nation on their list of investments.
But don't we in the west depend on a successful China?Actually, I think we should promote policies more like the Chinese. Forget the moralizing crap, and just encourage the most stable environment possible. Then invest in the nation to gain better access to natural resources or labor. China is going to change the face of Africa, and potentially Afghanistan, far more effectively than we will, and they will come out of it with access to oil, copper, gold, and other natural resources we will end up having to buy from them.
We, on the other hand, are going to spend a crapload of money and lives, get squat in return, and end up poorer for the effort. Worse, we will probably end up making the situation for the average person in these regions worse for the wear, not better.
Don't assume there aren't also western and American business interests active in the new Afghanistan.
when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...
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#56 2009-10-20 12:55 pm
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
I do think we need to drop the moralizing as well. What happens to these people isn't entirely up to us. If the place turns to crap after US forces leave, too bad. We really do need to quit worrying about things like collateral damage when we go to war. But that's also where the real change needs to happen - the US needs to actually go to war. Vietnam, Afghanistan and Iraq should be the last actions done without a declaration of war from Congress. War should only happen when we are truly committed. These half-assed measures simply don't work out. This should also teach us that there is simply no place for NATO in the post-Soviet world. Coalition my ass. No offense to Ribby, but the US always winds up bearing the brunt of these things. And not just here, but places like Kosovo as well - something that should have been a US matter.
I'm sick of these wars dragging on for years with nothing to show for it. We need to spend that money here. I know it's harsh, but smurf the people of Afghanistan and Iraq. And in the future, the US needs to stay out of world affairs. Our military needs to be pulled back within our own borders. If people are overrun by <Communists, Islamofacists, insert-boogeyman-du-jour-here> too smurfing bad. The US military exists to preserve freedom for US citizens, not foreigners. If business interests are involved, then tax businesses to pay for it. They can also pay the benefits to the families of the soldiers killed and the equipment lost.
We need a program similar to those in post-war Germany to rid the nation of a certain ideology here, but applied to neoconservatism.
It is an odd thing, but every one who disappears is said to be seen at San Francisco. It must be a delightful city, and possess all the attractions of the next world.
- Oscar Wilde
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#57 2009-10-20 1:00 pm
- Ribtorus
- Member

- Registered: 2002-07-11
- Posts: 13735
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
robco wrote:
I do think we need to drop the moralizing as well. What happens to these people isn't entirely up to us. If the place turns to crap after US forces leave, too bad. We really do need to quit worrying about things like collateral damage when we go to war. But that's also where the real change needs to happen - the US needs to actually go to war. Vietnam, Afghanistan and Iraq should be the last actions done without a declaration of war from Congress. War should only happen when we are truly committed. These half-assed measures simply don't work out. This should also teach us that there is simply no place for NATO in the post-Soviet world. Coalition my ass. No offense to Ribby, but the US always winds up bearing the brunt of these things. And not just here, but places like Kosovo as well - something that should have been a US matter.
I'm sick of these wars dragging on for years with nothing to show for it. We need to spend that money here. I know it's harsh, but smurf the people of Afghanistan and Iraq. And in the future, the US needs to stay out of world affairs. Our military needs to be pulled back within our own borders. If people are overrun by <Communists, Islamofacists, insert-boogeyman-du-jour-here> too smurfing bad. The US military exists to preserve freedom for US citizens, not foreigners. If business interests are involved, then tax businesses to pay for it. They can also pay the benefits to the families of the soldiers killed and the equipment lost.
We need a program similar to those in post-war Germany to rid the nation of a certain ideology here, but applied to neoconservatism.
You still don't know why you're there.
You frame your objections in terms of the lies and half-truths you've heard, rather than the reality.
when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...
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#58 2009-10-20 1:03 pm
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
Does anyone know why the US is there? I don't think we know anymore. It's been eight years already. Whatever the reason, that's too long. I thought we were there to nab OBL. But I think he's long gone. Time to declare mission failure and pull out.
Whatever the reasons the US is still there aren't good ones. We are no good at nation building, anything we try and build there will crumble when we leave. Why stay?
It is an odd thing, but every one who disappears is said to be seen at San Francisco. It must be a delightful city, and possess all the attractions of the next world.
- Oscar Wilde
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#59 2009-10-20 1:13 pm
- Ribtorus
- Member

- Registered: 2002-07-11
- Posts: 13735
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
robco wrote:
Does anyone know why the US is there? I don't think we know anymore. It's been eight years already. Whatever the reason, that's too long. I thought we were there to nab OBL. But I think he's long gone. Time to declare mission failure and pull out.
Whatever the reasons the US is still there aren't good ones. We are no good at nation building, anything we try and build there will crumble when we leave. Why stay?
That's a valid question.
Nation building is a good, sufficiently general term that can mean almost anything.
It can mean setting up a puppet regime dictatorship torture state, or a fantasy peaceful democracy.
I think real nation building has its historic roots in migration, assimilation and conquest. But we don't migrate, only our interests migrate; that's empire building. And that's what we do.
Last edited by Ribtorus (2009-10-20 1:14 pm)
when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...
Offline
#60 2009-10-20 1:21 pm
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
Whatever is is we're doing we need to stop doing it. Some call the Libertarians crazy, but I do agree with the notion of a non-interventionist foreign policy and keeping the military at home. Whatever we get from nation/empire building, it doesn't outweigh the costs. Without Afghanistan and Iraq, our budget deficit would be much lower. We would have universal health care and education for our own citizens.
Nation building can't be done by an external force. Democracy will only come to the Middle East when the people are ready for it. It can't be imposed by an external force. If they want to be ruled by tribal warlords, fine. It's not our concern. If South Korea can't defend against an incursion by the North, not our problem. If Europe gets overrun by the Russians, not our problem either. OBL has a point in that US troops should not be stationed in Saudi Arabia.
Any empire or semblance of an empire the US holds needs to be given away. In that vein, it's time for Guam and Puerto Rico to smurf or get off the pot.
It is an odd thing, but every one who disappears is said to be seen at San Francisco. It must be a delightful city, and possess all the attractions of the next world.
- Oscar Wilde
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#61 2009-10-20 1:31 pm
- sturner
- Royal High Poobah
- Moderator

- From: Carrollton, TX USA
- Registered: 2000-01-31
- Posts: 13767
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
Ribtorus wrote:
robco wrote:
Does anyone know why the US is there? I don't think we know anymore. It's been eight years already. Whatever the reason, that's too long. I thought we were there to nab OBL. But I think he's long gone. Time to declare mission failure and pull out.
Whatever the reasons the US is still there aren't good ones. We are no good at nation building, anything we try and build there will crumble when we leave. Why stay?That's a valid question.
Nation building is a good, sufficiently general term that can mean almost anything.
It can mean setting up a puppet regime dictatorship torture state, or a fantasy peaceful democracy.
I think real nation building has its historic roots in migration, assimilation and conquest. But we don't migrate, only our interests migrate; that's empire building. And that's what we do.
yeah, just shut up, and be a good soldier of the Queen.
Others will decide what and where we go.
I'm not dead yet.
There are 3 types of people, those who can count and those who can't.
"There are few things graven in stone, excepting your date of death."
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#62 2009-10-20 1:31 pm
- Ribtorus
- Member

- Registered: 2002-07-11
- Posts: 13735
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
The general concepts of commerce, investment and risk are central to protecting capitalism and depend on interventions of some kind or other. Intervention either to mitigate threats or preserve a positive situation.
Even your vaunted founding fathers knew to keep some kind of foreign presence with sufficient clout to maintain or even enhance opportunities.
when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...
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#63 2009-10-20 1:33 pm
- Ribtorus
- Member

- Registered: 2002-07-11
- Posts: 13735
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
sturner wrote:
Ribtorus wrote:
robco wrote:
Does anyone know why the US is there? I don't think we know anymore. It's been eight years already. Whatever the reason, that's too long. I thought we were there to nab OBL. But I think he's long gone. Time to declare mission failure and pull out.
Whatever the reasons the US is still there aren't good ones. We are no good at nation building, anything we try and build there will crumble when we leave. Why stay?That's a valid question.
Nation building is a good, sufficiently general term that can mean almost anything.
It can mean setting up a puppet regime dictatorship torture state, or a fantasy peaceful democracy.
I think real nation building has its historic roots in migration, assimilation and conquest. But we don't migrate, only our interests migrate; that's empire building. And that's what we do.yeah, just shut up, and be a good soldier of the Queen.
Others will decide what and where we go.
By we I mean the west
when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...
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#64 2009-10-20 1:35 pm
- sturner
- Royal High Poobah
- Moderator

- From: Carrollton, TX USA
- Registered: 2000-01-31
- Posts: 13767
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
Ribtorus wrote:
The general concepts of commerce, investment and risk are central to protecting capitalism and depend on interventions of some kind or other. Intervention either to mitigate threats or preserve a positive situation.
Even your vaunted founding fathers knew to keep some kind of foreign presence with sufficient clout to maintain or even enhance opportunities.
Hence the frigates, U.S.S United States, Constellation, Constitution, Chesapeake, Congress, and President.
I'm not dead yet.
There are 3 types of people, those who can count and those who can't.
"There are few things graven in stone, excepting your date of death."
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#65 2009-10-20 1:40 pm
- Ribtorus
- Member

- Registered: 2002-07-11
- Posts: 13735
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
sturner wrote:
Ribtorus wrote:
The general concepts of commerce, investment and risk are central to protecting capitalism and depend on interventions of some kind or other. Intervention either to mitigate threats or preserve a positive situation.
Even your vaunted founding fathers knew to keep some kind of foreign presence with sufficient clout to maintain or even enhance opportunities.Hence the frigates, U.S.S United States, Constellation, Constitution, Chesapeake, Congress, and President.
As well as diplomatic officers in various foreign capitals.
when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...
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#66 2009-10-20 1:43 pm
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
Diplomacy certainly. But permanent military bases in Europe? Soldiers in Korea more than a half century after the conflict? No. What resources does Afghanistan have besides opium? I doubt our founders wanted a militaristic empire along the lines of ancient Rome.
It is an odd thing, but every one who disappears is said to be seen at San Francisco. It must be a delightful city, and possess all the attractions of the next world.
- Oscar Wilde
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#67 2009-10-20 1:46 pm
- Ribtorus
- Member

- Registered: 2002-07-11
- Posts: 13735
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
robco wrote:
Diplomacy certainly. But permanent military bases in Europe? Soldiers in Korea more than a half century after the conflict? No. What resources does Afghanistan have besides opium? I doubt our founders wanted a militaristic empire along the lines of ancient Rome.
Well, the ancient Roman Republic was a fanciful model for those men, as well as their European counterparts at that time. Perhaps destiny dictates the terms, and empire is inevitable.
when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...
Offline
#68 2009-10-20 1:48 pm
- sturner
- Royal High Poobah
- Moderator

- From: Carrollton, TX USA
- Registered: 2000-01-31
- Posts: 13767
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
What does God Bless America sound like in Farsi?
I'm not dead yet.
There are 3 types of people, those who can count and those who can't.
"There are few things graven in stone, excepting your date of death."
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#69 2009-10-20 1:50 pm
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
Ribtorus wrote:
robco wrote:
Diplomacy certainly. But permanent military bases in Europe? Soldiers in Korea more than a half century after the conflict? No. What resources does Afghanistan have besides opium? I doubt our founders wanted a militaristic empire along the lines of ancient Rome.
Well, the ancient Roman Republic was a fanciful model for those men, as well as their European counterparts at that time. Perhaps destiny dictates the terms, and empire is inevitable.
As will our fall be inevitable...
It is an odd thing, but every one who disappears is said to be seen at San Francisco. It must be a delightful city, and possess all the attractions of the next world.
- Oscar Wilde
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#70 2009-10-20 2:14 pm
- Ribtorus
- Member

- Registered: 2002-07-11
- Posts: 13735
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
Back on subject. I think if we pull out of Afghanistan leaving behind a situation much as it is now, with kabul surrounded by Taliban-like insurgents as well as power grabbing chiefs, there will likely be another civil war similar to what the Soviets left behind.
-Western credibility is shot. That's no trivial thing. As debtors we rely on credibility or at least the illusion of it.
-Afghans would despise us and may repeat their experience with al Qaeda (and who could blame them?)
-Pakistan and Iran get masses of Afghan refugees crowding their own troubled borders. Pakistan can't handle that and Iran, perhaps finally ready to become respectable, will be thrown into chaos.
-Russia gains prestige by our failure. Putin needs no encouragement.
-NATO reveals its weakness to its own members. Is this the way we want to see NATO gutted? Instead of a cold war victory, we have an embarassing defeat.
I'm sure there's more.
We're in too deep.
when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...
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#71 2009-10-20 2:56 pm
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
Western credibility is already shot - at least US credibility. This is an opportunity for the EU to step up and become relevant. Afghans already despise us and will probably repeat the AQ thing anyway. Iran is already in chaos, or a hair's breadth from it. Nobody likes the Russians. The only NATO member that will be revealed to be weak is the US because the US is the only ones with considerable forces committed in Afghanistan. The rest are more token forces than anything else. NATO is already weak because the US and UK are the only strong members. The other members went in with some trepidation and committed as few forces as possible and are looking to get out ASAP. NATO is already done for or should be. It's a relic from the Cold War.
None of the scenarios you mention are worth the cost of being there or ratcheting up our involvement. If you think other NATO members could be convinced that it's worthwhile and would be willing to help more, that would help, but I doubt you could. The rest of the world is too weak and/or timid. If they want the Iranians or Putin to gain more power, so be it. The US is no longer a shield.
As for being debtors, our involvement in the MidEast is dragging us into debt faster than anything aside from SS and Medicare. For the money we spent, we could have researched, developed and be in the process of implementing alternative energy. The whole region is a mess. They're a backward, brutal people going through their Middle Ages. The only reason we give a smurf is the oil. Remove our dependence on that and we don't have to care about them anymore.
It is an odd thing, but every one who disappears is said to be seen at San Francisco. It must be a delightful city, and possess all the attractions of the next world.
- Oscar Wilde
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#72 2009-10-20 3:24 pm
- Ribtorus
- Member

- Registered: 2002-07-11
- Posts: 13735
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
I think there's still room.
Not all Afghans hate us. That's far from true.
NATO could alter its mission to be more in keeping with a realistic strategy.
It's true that American credibility is strained because of other policies and unfortunate uccurrences, but everyone backs a winner, so it's worth trying to be one.
But Pakistan and Iran cannot be thrown to the wolves if Afghanistan has another civil war. The humanitarian disaster would be on our hands and no amount of cynicism will make that right. Russia's experience with it's 'stans and Chechnya in particular must be learned.
when surrounded and left on Afghanistan's plains,
and the women come out to cut up what remains,
just roll to your rifle and blow out your brains,
and go to your god like a soldier...
Offline
#73 2009-10-20 3:44 pm
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
They don't hate Canada, nobody hates Canada. They hate Americans.
What is this NATO mission you keep speaking of? Who, aside from the UK and US have committed considerable forces in Afghanistan? The French? The Belgians?
We could alter the mission... again. We could keep moving the goalposts. We can continue to redefine what success is. Mission creep continues and we're in for another eight years - right before the Ponzi scheme that is the US government comes crashing down. No matter what we do, we're not going to come out a winner.
As for Pakistan and Iran, they'll get what they deserve. I hate quoting the Bible but, "as ye sow, so shall ye reap."
It is an odd thing, but every one who disappears is said to be seen at San Francisco. It must be a delightful city, and possess all the attractions of the next world.
- Oscar Wilde
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#74 2009-10-20 9:59 pm
- user
- Your plastic pal who's fun to be with

- From: I'm not getting you down, am I
- Registered: 2001-10-15
- Posts: 16016
Re: If Afghanistan is lost, then ...
sturner wrote:
What does God Bless America sound like in Farsi?
یانکی به خانه
Aw, he's no fun, he fell right over.
Unless you become as little children, there's no way you will believe this crap.
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