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#1 2006-07-20 5:05 pm

bratboy
laden with emotion
Royal Wombat
From: Austin, Texas
Registered: 2003-01-19
Posts: 34106

How will Iraq affect the elections here?

We know it will affect the election....but how much?  It seems unlikely that a turnaround will occur prior to November.  Here's an article on point:

GOP Lawmakers Edge Away From Optimism on Iraq

Faced with almost daily reports of sectarian carnage in Iraq, congressional Republicans are shifting their message on the war from speaking optimistically of progress to acknowledging the difficulty of the mission and pointing up mistakes in planning and execution.

Rep. Christopher Shays (Conn.) is using his House Government Reform subcommittee on national security to vent criticism of the White House's war strategy and new estimates of the monetary cost of the war. Rep. Gil Gutknecht (Minn.), once a strong supporter of the war, returned from Iraq this week declaring that conditions in Baghdad were far worse "than we'd been led to believe" and urging that troop withdrawals begin immediately.

And freshman Sen. John Thune (S.D.) told reporters at the National Press Club that if he were running for reelection this year, "you obviously don't embrace the president and his agenda."

"The first thing I'd do is acknowledge that there have been mistakes made," Thune said.

Rank-and file Republicans who once adamantly backed the administration on the war are moving to a two-stage new message, according to some lawmakers. First, Republicans are making it clear to constituents they do not agree with every decision the president has made on Iraq. Then they boil the argument down to two choices: staying and fighting or conceding defeat to a vicious enemy.

The shift is subtle, but Republican lawmakers acknowledge that it is no longer tenable to say the news media are ignoring the good news in Iraq and painting an unfair picture of the war. In the first half of this year, 4,338 Iraqi civilians died violent deaths, according to a new report by the U.N. Assistance Mission for Iraq. Last month alone, 3,149 civilians were killed -- an average of more than 100 a day.

Republicans and some conservative Democrats who have backed the president's call to stay the course are finding it increasingly difficult to square their generally optimistic rhetoric with the grim situation on the ground in Baghdad and other cities.

"This escalating trend . . . represents the greatest danger to Iraq as it threatens to erode the government's authority," Ashraf Qazi, the U.N. envoy to Baghdad, said in a statement. "The emerging phenomenon of Iraqis killing Iraqis on a daily basis is nothing less than a catastrophe."

Link.

Does this mean I can trust the media yet when it comes to the situation in Iraq?


"One thing we've learned is there's a difference between being disappointed and having madmen in authority."

                                                                   --Paul Krugman

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#2 2006-07-20 5:10 pm

Farmerkev
Official Dementor
Moderator
Registered: 2003-01-03
Posts: 18624

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

The only thing safe to say is you can trust the media (and polls) that the voters aren't thrilled with Bush and Iraq.


Do your part to combat global warming.
Eat a cow.

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#3 2006-07-20 5:17 pm

bedstuy
Archimandrite, Eastern Elite
From: King Cole Bar, St. Regis Hotel
Registered: 2003-09-20
Posts: 13629

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

omg NUANCE!

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#4 2006-07-20 5:18 pm

JakeTheTall
Cargo Cultist
From: In Permanent Opposition
Registered: 2003-03-13
Posts: 9615

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

I'm torn between appreciating similar thread titles, and being all confused by them.

As for Iraq...not a whole lot.  As long as the economy stays stable, the biggest influence will be fatigue with the WH, and any fun corruption headlines.


Jesus said to the servants, "Fill the jars with water"; so they filled them to the brim.  Then he told them, "Now draw some out and take it to the master of the banquet."  They did so, and the master of the banquet tasted the water that had been turned into wine. He did not realize where it had come from, though the servants who had drawn the water knew.

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#5 2006-07-20 5:39 pm

bratboy
laden with emotion
Royal Wombat
From: Austin, Texas
Registered: 2003-01-19
Posts: 34106

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

Well, mine correctly uses "affect" instead of misusing "effect."  You can tell them apart that way.

wink


"One thing we've learned is there's a difference between being disappointed and having madmen in authority."

                                                                   --Paul Krugman

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#6 2006-07-20 5:45 pm

Pariah
James Carville Fan..
From: Belly Of The Beast, Oklahoma!
Registered: 2001-05-24
Posts: 18425

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

Now more than ever we need a "none of the above" choice on the ballot.

If that was the case the capital building would be emptied. If there is one thing the American people are united in is that AL of the politicians we have now suck. The republicans are doing somewhat worse than the dems in the polls but both parties poll very, very poorly in approval.


"and it's not surprising that they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations."
Barack Obama

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#7 2006-07-20 5:57 pm

Hank Rearden
Watch your step
From: Republic of Western Canada
Registered: 2001-04-18
Posts: 7044
Website

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

bratboy wrote:

Well, mine correctly uses "affect" instead of misusing "effect."  You can tell them apart that way.

Maybe he really meant "effect".

Effect (def):  verb to bring about.

Are they about to invade N. America?  Regime change? confused


The gross heathenism of civilization has generally destroyed nature, and poetry, and all that is spiritual. -John Muir-

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#8 2006-07-20 6:30 pm

[Tycho?]
As Elusive As Doubt
From: May the best sentience win
Registered: 2000-06-19
Posts: 3210

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

Your country is smurfed. All your politicians seem to be corrupt or stupid or both. All you do is vote for one idiot instead of another idiot, neither of which are likely to solve the current problems facing the US.

My only concern that once the US economy colapses it will bring the rest of the world with it.


I could bore you with a philosophical tirade about freedom and tyranny, or try and explain to you what new horizons are suddenly open to me, but I doubt you would understand and if you did it might frighten you.  That amuses me.

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#9 2006-07-20 6:40 pm

blank kludge
20 Minutes Into teh Future
From: Hal9k --> Font/DA Mover
Registered: 2006-02-21
Posts: 525

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

"Nothing else in the world...not all the armies...is so powerful as an idea whose time has come." -- Victor Hugo

--------
I would suggest the 'idea whose time has come' in this case is that much of the electorate thinks we should end our involvement and exit this quagmire ASAP. It is doing no good; our folks are dying daily, and Iraqis are running a defacto civil war, killing many otherwise innocent countrymen.

Polls indicate a large portion of the American populace has this idea. It may take some time for a sufficient number of their representatives to find their way to this same idea.
------
Shay is one of 3 incumbent CT (R) House members who are facing tough reelection campaigns. Oh, and the CT junior Senator (allegedly a (D)) is finding himself facing a primary electoral abyss as well.


2.3 - What are "Blanks"?

Blanks are people who have either fallen off the information nets, or taken themselves off deliberately. Usually known and addressed by their first names with "Blank" as a title - Blank Reg, Blank Bruno, and Blank Dom(inique) are three we get to know well.

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#10 2006-07-20 11:57 pm

Hank Rearden
Watch your step
From: Republic of Western Canada
Registered: 2001-04-18
Posts: 7044
Website

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

[Tycho?] wrote:

Your country is smurfed. All your politicians seem to be corrupt or stupid or both. All you do is vote for one idiot instead of another idiot, neither of which are likely to solve the current problems facing the US.

What.  Don't talk about my country that way...

...oh, you meant the US.  Go on...


The gross heathenism of civilization has generally destroyed nature, and poetry, and all that is spiritual. -John Muir-

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#11 2006-07-21 2:23 am

resedit
Chicken Little
Royal Wombat
From: /dev/null
Registered: 1999-11-01
Posts: 50405
Website

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

I can guarantee that media outlets like Fox News that have been nice to the right will be running a lot of pieces that are positive on Iraq. I can also guarantee that un-named media outlets will be running a lot of pieces that are negative on Iraq.

In fact - it has already started.

Fox News very recently did an interview piece with the soldier who wrote the book about the 13 year old Iraqi boy who was the son of an Iraqi fighting against America and the new Iraq. The boy wanted piece, and went to the military turning himself in for things he had done under order from his father, and told them where they could catch his father.

They also recently did a story on the soldier in Afghanistan who was accused of massacreing civilians, and how when everything was said and done, it was revealed that the soldier who made the accusation had made it falsely because he had a grudge against the accused soldier.

Expect a lot more of these kinds of stories to be run on Fox News, and quite likely coupled with media bites showing the "other" media running with the false information.

Who will win the media propoganda war on Iraq? Who knows.


In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor

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#12 2006-07-21 6:13 am

Sternum
Slathered in barbecue sauce
From: Ribcage
Registered: 2002-01-10
Posts: 3350

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

Expect a lot more of these kinds of stories to be run on Fox News, and quite likely coupled with media bites showing the "other" media running with the false information.

So you're saying that the stories of two individuals makes up for a destroyed nation, tens of thousands of people killed, billions and billions of wasted dollars, and an oncoming genocide that could very well rival Rwanda?

Last edited by Sternum (2006-07-21 6:14 am)

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#13 2006-07-21 6:27 am

Farmerkev
Official Dementor
Moderator
Registered: 2003-01-03
Posts: 18624

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

Sternum wrote:

Expect a lot more of these kinds of stories to be run on Fox News, and quite likely coupled with media bites showing the "other" media running with the false information.

So you're saying that the stories of two individuals makes up for a destroyed nation, tens of thousands of people killed, billions and billions of wasted dollars, and an oncoming genocide that could very well rival Rwanda?

That isn't what he said or the point he was trying to make.


Do your part to combat global warming.
Eat a cow.

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#14 2006-07-21 6:55 am

Sternum
Slathered in barbecue sauce
From: Ribcage
Registered: 2002-01-10
Posts: 3350

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

Farmerkev wrote:

Sternum wrote:

Expect a lot more of these kinds of stories to be run on Fox News, and quite likely coupled with media bites showing the "other" media running with the false information.

So you're saying that the stories of two individuals makes up for a destroyed nation, tens of thousands of people killed, billions and billions of wasted dollars, and an oncoming genocide that could very well rival Rwanda?

That isn't what he said or the point he was trying to make.

He seems to be suggesting that news organizations that report on the general lack of progress in Iraq -- the outrageous cost, the rising tide of violence, and lawlessness of the region -- are being less reputable than news organizations that opt to devote time to the stories of the two individuals he mentioned.

The fact is, those stories, although interesting, are meaningless in the grand scheme of things, and have no effect on the scope of current events. The human interest stories of two individuals can't soften the blow to the misery, madness, and mass mayhem that's a direct result of the U.S.'s actions in the Iraq.

Last edited by Sternum (2006-07-21 6:58 am)

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#15 2006-07-21 7:08 am

Farmerkev
Official Dementor
Moderator
Registered: 2003-01-03
Posts: 18624

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

Do you remember a few years ago, the summer of the shark attacks?
Nothing on the news but shark attacks.
Tourism was down, people were scared.
Truth was there were less attacks that year than normal.
Anyone who doubts the media has great power over public perception, a public that only knows what it tells them, is a fool.
Rez was pointing out a different agenda in news outlets trying to sway that public opinion.


Do your part to combat global warming.
Eat a cow.

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#16 2006-07-21 7:27 am

resedit
Chicken Little
Royal Wombat
From: /dev/null
Registered: 1999-11-01
Posts: 50405
Website

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

Sternum wrote:

He seems to be suggesting that news organizations that report on the general lack of progress in Iraq -- the outrageous cost, the rising tide of violence, and lawlessness of the region -- are being less reputable than news organizations that opt to devote time to the stories of the two individuals he mentioned.

I said absolutely nothing about honesty.
In fact - I conceded that fox news is not central, as they claim to be, but is in fact friendly to the right.


In her right hand Jenny held the Bible of her mother
Jenny had a pistol in the other
-- Steve Taylor

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#17 2006-07-21 9:40 am

Nefarious
Tuning Fork
Moderator
From: 45°22"N 84°57"W
Registered: 2002-09-30
Posts: 7998

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

CIA being blocked from investigating Iraq by Negroponte

http://www.harpers.org/sb-sources-negro … 33546.html 

I reported in May that despite the deteriorating situation in Iraq, no National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) has been produced on that country since the summer of 2004. The last NIE, a classified document that the CIA describes as “the most authoritative written judgment concerning a national security issue,” was rejected by the Bush Administration (after being leaked to the New York Times) as being too negative, though its grim assessment subsequently proved to be highly accurate.

The situation has gotten even darker since my initial story—a United Nations report cited in Wednesday's New York Times found that an average of more than 100 Iraqi civilians were killed each day in June—and I've learned from two sources that some senior figures at the CIA, along with a number of Iraq analysts, have been pushing to produce a new NIE. They've been stonewalled, however, by John Negroponte, the administration's Director of National Intelligence, who knows that any honest take on the situation would produce an NIE even more pessimistic than the 2004 version. That could create problems on the Hill and, if it is leaked as the last one was, with the public as well....

The sources said that forces at the CIA have been lobbying for the new NIE for about six months.

A third source, a former CIA officer who served in Iraq, said he had no direct knowledge of Negroponte blocking the NIE but that it jibed with past practice. “The NIE is a crucial document . . . that tells you how to tweak your policy,” he said. “That's hard to do if you don't want to look at it.” He said he had two recent conversations with people in Iraq, one an official at the Ministry of Interior who told him that as of two days ago there were 1,600 bodies piled up at the central morgue in Baghdad. The second conversation, he said, was with an Iraqi general officer who told him, “I never thought I would see my capital like this. It's on fire.”

Maybe, it will affect the election  roll

Here's a sarcastic haiku on re-electing a politician Frank Murkowski of Alaska 

We say we want change

when we really want ka-ching

four more years for Frank  [url=http://www.adn.com/news/alaska/story/7988698p-7881638c.html]link

Oh yeah, I want more of the same.  More war, less science, more Halliburton, low minimum wage, more domestic spying, increasing poverty in the US.

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#18 2006-07-21 9:47 am

user
Your plastic pal who's fun to be with
From: I'm not getting you down, am I
Registered: 2001-10-15
Posts: 16035

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

You can't change horses in mid-stream.


Aw, he's no fun, he fell right over.

Unless you become as little children, there's no way you will believe this crap.

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#19 2006-07-21 10:04 am

iBubba
Displaced
From: central Iowa
Registered: 2000-10-06
Posts: 7109

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

Farmerkev wrote:

Do you remember a few years ago, the summer of the shark attacks?
Nothing on the news but shark attacks.
Tourism was down, people were scared.
Truth was there were less attacks that year than normal.
Anyone who doubts the media has great power over public perception, a public that only knows what it tells them, is a fool.
Rez was pointing out a different agenda in news outlets trying to sway that public opinion.

Sharks attacks = Iraq?

sad.


"Hell, I'm sure Og had some cool way of banging two rocks together, until he took himself too seriously."
- Pithecanthropus

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#20 2006-07-21 10:23 am

Nefarious
Tuning Fork
Moderator
From: 45°22"N 84°57"W
Registered: 2002-09-30
Posts: 7998

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

user wrote:

You can't change horses in mid-stream.

That a proverb for losers.   (I'm pretty sure you're being sarcastic.)

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#21 2006-07-21 10:37 am

Steyr AUG
Agent Orange
From: 'Nam
Registered: 2001-08-24
Posts: 27547
Website

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

Sternum wrote:

Farmerkev wrote:

Sternum wrote:


So you're saying that the stories of two individuals makes up for a destroyed nation, tens of thousands of people killed, billions and billions of wasted dollars, and an oncoming genocide that could very well rival Rwanda?

That isn't what he said or the point he was trying to make.

He seems to be suggesting that news organizations that report on the general lack of progress in Iraq -- the outrageous cost, the rising tide of violence, and lawlessness of the region -- are being less reputable than news organizations that opt to devote time to the stories of the two individuals he mentioned.

The fact is, those stories, although interesting, are meaningless in the grand scheme of things, and have no effect on the scope of current events. The human interest stories of two individuals can't soften the blow to the misery, madness, and mass mayhem that's a direct result of the U.S.'s actions in the Iraq.

There are many more stories of such things out there and not just human interest but actual progress, you just dont hear about them because all the focus of "other" stations is on the bad, which is I think was res was pointing out.


Just like back in Saigon! Eh, slick?

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#22 2006-07-21 10:52 am

user
Your plastic pal who's fun to be with
From: I'm not getting you down, am I
Registered: 2001-10-15
Posts: 16035

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

Nefarious Bidding wrote:

user wrote:

You can't change horses in mid-stream.

That a proverb for losers.   (I'm pretty sure you're being sarcastic.)

That was the obnoxious political slogan from "Wag The Dog".

It got credit for re-electing the Prez, infuriating Dustin Hoffman's character who knew HIS manipulations were actually responsible.


Aw, he's no fun, he fell right over.

Unless you become as little children, there's no way you will believe this crap.

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#23 2006-07-21 10:59 am

JakeTheTall
Cargo Cultist
From: In Permanent Opposition
Registered: 2003-03-13
Posts: 9615

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

Steyr AUG wrote:

There are many more stories of such things out there and not just human interest but actual progress, you just dont hear about them because all the focus of "other" stations is on the bad, which is I think was res was pointing out.

Is any of that actual progress happening in Baghdad, the largest city in Iraq ?


Jesus said to the servants, "Fill the jars with water"; so they filled them to the brim.  Then he told them, "Now draw some out and take it to the master of the banquet."  They did so, and the master of the banquet tasted the water that had been turned into wine. He did not realize where it had come from, though the servants who had drawn the water knew.

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#24 2006-07-21 11:00 am

Steyr AUG
Agent Orange
From: 'Nam
Registered: 2001-08-24
Posts: 27547
Website

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

JakeTheTall wrote:

Steyr AUG wrote:

There are many more stories of such things out there and not just human interest but actual progress, you just dont hear about them because all the focus of "other" stations is on the bad, which is I think was res was pointing out.

Is any of that actual progress happening in Baghdad, the largest city in Iraq ?

Of course


Just like back in Saigon! Eh, slick?

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#25 2006-07-21 11:07 am

JakeTheTall
Cargo Cultist
From: In Permanent Opposition
Registered: 2003-03-13
Posts: 9615

Re: How will Iraq affect the elections here?

Steyr AUG wrote:

JakeTheTall wrote:

Steyr AUG wrote:

There are many more stories of such things out there and not just human interest but actual progress, you just dont hear about them because all the focus of "other" stations is on the bad, which is I think was res was pointing out.

Is any of that actual progress happening in Baghdad, the largest city in Iraq ?

Of course

Any specific examples or types of progress ?

Wait...you don't mean progress to a full-blown civil war, do you ?


Jesus said to the servants, "Fill the jars with water"; so they filled them to the brim.  Then he told them, "Now draw some out and take it to the master of the banquet."  They did so, and the master of the banquet tasted the water that had been turned into wine. He did not realize where it had come from, though the servants who had drawn the water knew.

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